NVIDIA shares closed near $190 in late July amid anticipation for the company's August 26 Q2 FY2027 earnings release, with traders balancing robust prior-quarter data center revenue growth of 92% year-over-year against near-term risks including supply constraints in high-bandwidth memory, elevated insider selling, and questions over financing structures. The tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $175–$220 ranges reflects this uncertainty, as options activity and analyst targets point to potential upside from sustained AI demand while recent price action and macroeconomic factors like Treasury yields keep sentiment in check. Key swing factors for the Aug 3–7 close include any pre-earnings commentary or sector rotation in tech.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$175 49%
$190-$195 48%
$195-$200 48%
$175-$180 48%
<$175
49%
$175-$180
48%
$180-$185
48%
$185-$190
46%
$190-$195
48%
$195-$200
48%
$200-$205
48%
$205-$210
48%
$210-$215
43%
$215-$220
44%
>$220
45%
<$175 49%
$190-$195 48%
$195-$200 48%
$175-$180 48%
<$175
49%
$175-$180
48%
$180-$185
48%
$185-$190
46%
$190-$195
48%
$195-$200
48%
$200-$205
48%
$205-$210
48%
$210-$215
43%
$215-$220
44%
>$220
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA shares closed near $190 in late July amid anticipation for the company's August 26 Q2 FY2027 earnings release, with traders balancing robust prior-quarter data center revenue growth of 92% year-over-year against near-term risks including supply constraints in high-bandwidth memory, elevated insider selling, and questions over financing structures. The tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $175–$220 ranges reflects this uncertainty, as options activity and analyst targets point to potential upside from sustained AI demand while recent price action and macroeconomic factors like Treasury yields keep sentiment in check. Key swing factors for the Aug 3–7 close include any pre-earnings commentary or sector rotation in tech.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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