>99% chance
$27,364 Vol.
$27,364 Vol.
Dec 30, 2025
>99% chance
$27,364 Vol.
$27,364 Vol.
Dec 30, 2025
If any rocket carrying the ESCAPADE mission spacecraft successfully launches from its launchpad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM EST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/NASA), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the market outcome. Any name change of the spacecraft will have no bearing on the market outcome.
If any rocket carrying the ESCAPADE mission spacecraft successfully launches from its launchpad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM EST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/NASA), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the market outcome. Any name change of the spacecraft will have no bearing on the market outcome.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/NASA), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the market outcome. Any name change of the spacecraft will have no bearing on the market outcome.
Market Opened: Nov 10, 2025, 9:27 PM ET
Volume
$27,364End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Nov 10, 2025, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If any rocket carrying the ESCAPADE mission spacecraft successfully launches from its launchpad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM EST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/NASA), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the market outcome. Any name change of the spacecraft will have no bearing on the market outcome.
If any rocket carrying the ESCAPADE mission spacecraft successfully launches from its launchpad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM EST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/NASA), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the market outcome. Any name change of the spacecraft will have no bearing on the market outcome.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/NASA), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the market outcome. Any name change of the spacecraft will have no bearing on the market outcome.
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Nov 10, 2025, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes




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