**Trader sentiment for “Mutiny” heavily favors a sub-$9 million domestic opening weekend because pre-release tracking and competitive realities point to a modest debut for the mid-budget Lionsgate actioner.** Jason Statham’s cargo-ship thriller, directed by Jean-François Richet with a roughly $40 million budget, opens August 21 in about 2,700 theaters against Sony’s stronger horror counter-programmer *Insidious: Out of the Further*, projected for $25–35 million. Long-range forecasts from Box Office Pro had placed *Mutiny* in the $8–12 million range, consistent with recent Statham titles such as *The Beekeeper* and *A Working Man*, yet expectations have softened to the high single digits amid a crowded late-summer slate and mixed early reviews. France’s first-day results of roughly 20,000 admissions further signal tempered audience interest. The tight contest between the sub-$8 million and $8–9 million brackets reflects uncertainty over final weekend legs and word-of-mouth momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office
“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m 45%
8-9m 37%
10-11m 3.0%
9-10m 1.1%
NEW
$11,115 Vol.
NEW
$11,115 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<8m
45%
8-9m
44%
9-10m
1%
10-11m
3%
11m+
<1%
<8m 45%
8-9m 37%
10-11m 3.0%
9-10m 1.1%
NEW
$11,115 Vol.
NEW
$11,115 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<8m
$5,546 Vol.
45%
8-9m
$1,766 Vol.
44%
9-10m
$1,559 Vol.
1%
10-11m
$1,167 Vol.
3%
11m+
$1,077 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment for “Mutiny” heavily favors a sub-$9 million domestic opening weekend because pre-release tracking and competitive realities point to a modest debut for the mid-budget Lionsgate actioner.** Jason Statham’s cargo-ship thriller, directed by Jean-François Richet with a roughly $40 million budget, opens August 21 in about 2,700 theaters against Sony’s stronger horror counter-programmer *Insidious: Out of the Further*, projected for $25–35 million. Long-range forecasts from Box Office Pro had placed *Mutiny* in the $8–12 million range, consistent with recent Statham titles such as *The Beekeeper* and *A Working Man*, yet expectations have softened to the high single digits amid a crowded late-summer slate and mixed early reviews. France’s first-day results of roughly 20,000 admissions further signal tempered audience interest. The tight contest between the sub-$8 million and $8–9 million brackets reflects uncertainty over final weekend legs and word-of-mouth momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$11,115End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment for “Mutiny” heavily favors a sub-$9 million domestic opening weekend because pre-release tracking and competitive realities point to a modest debut for the mid-budget Lionsgate actioner.** Jason Statham’s cargo-ship thriller, directed by Jean-François Richet with a roughly $40 million budget, opens August 21 in about 2,700 theaters against Sony’s stronger horror counter-programmer *Insidious: Out of the Further*, projected for $25–35 million. Long-range forecasts from Box Office Pro had placed *Mutiny* in the $8–12 million range, consistent with recent Statham titles such as *The Beekeeper* and *A Working Man*, yet expectations have softened to the high single digits amid a crowded late-summer slate and mixed early reviews. France’s first-day results of roughly 20,000 admissions further signal tempered audience interest. The tight contest between the sub-$8 million and $8–9 million brackets reflects uncertainty over final weekend legs and word-of-mouth momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$11,115End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for “Mutiny” heavily favors a sub-$9 million domestic opening weekend because pre-release tracking and competitive realities point to a modest debut for the mid-budget Lionsgate actioner.** Jason Statham’s cargo-ship thriller, directed by Jean-François Richet with a roughly $40 million budget, opens August 21 in about 2,700 theaters against Sony’s stronger horror counter-programmer *Insidious: Out of the Further*, projected for $25–35 million. Long-range forecasts from Box Office Pro had placed *Mutiny* in the $8–12 million range, consistent with recent Statham titles such as *The Beekeeper* and *A Working Man*, yet expectations have softened to the high single digits amid a crowded late-summer slate and mixed early reviews. France’s first-day results of roughly 20,000 admissions further signal tempered audience interest. The tight contest between the sub-$8 million and $8–9 million brackets reflects uncertainty over final weekend legs and word-of-mouth momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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