Jacob Misiorowski leads MLB with 247 strikeouts through 169.1 innings and a 13.1 K/9 rate, anchoring trader consensus at 66.2% implied probability for the 2026 regular-season title. His elite velocity and swing-and-miss stuff have produced the league's top strikeout rate while maintaining a 1.86 ERA. Gavin Williams sits second at 244 strikeouts in 181 innings with a 12.1 K/9, supporting his 32% share through a heavier workload and recent double-digit strikeout outings. Jesús Luzardo, Dylan Cease, and Cam Schlittler trail further back in totals and rate metrics, leaving limited paths to overtake the top two with the regular season nearing its close. Market pricing aligns with Misiorowski's rate advantage and current edge in a low-innings-remaining environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJacob Misiorowski 66.4%
Gavin Williams 33%
Jesús Luzardo 3.0%
Cam Schlittler 1.5%
$2,992,591 Vol.
$2,992,591 Vol.
Jacob Misiorowski
66%
Gavin Williams
33%
Jesús Luzardo
3%
Cam Schlittler
2%
Dylan Cease
1%
Cristopher Sánchez
1%
Sonny Gray
<1%
Logan Gilbert
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Logan Webb
<1%
Paul Skenes
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Freddy Peralta
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Zack Wheeler
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Shota Imanaga
<1%
Taj Bradley
<1%
José Soriano
<1%
Reid Detmers
<1%
Nolan McLean
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Emerson Hancock
<1%
Hunter Greene
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski 66.4%
Gavin Williams 33%
Jesús Luzardo 3.0%
Cam Schlittler 1.5%
$2,992,591 Vol.
$2,992,591 Vol.
Jacob Misiorowski
66%
Gavin Williams
33%
Jesús Luzardo
3%
Cam Schlittler
2%
Dylan Cease
1%
Cristopher Sánchez
1%
Sonny Gray
<1%
Logan Gilbert
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Logan Webb
<1%
Paul Skenes
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Freddy Peralta
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Zack Wheeler
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Shota Imanaga
<1%
Taj Bradley
<1%
José Soriano
<1%
Reid Detmers
<1%
Nolan McLean
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Emerson Hancock
<1%
Hunter Greene
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records fewer innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records the lower ERA during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records fewer innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records the lower ERA during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...Jacob Misiorowski leads MLB with 247 strikeouts through 169.1 innings and a 13.1 K/9 rate, anchoring trader consensus at 66.2% implied probability for the 2026 regular-season title. His elite velocity and swing-and-miss stuff have produced the league's top strikeout rate while maintaining a 1.86 ERA. Gavin Williams sits second at 244 strikeouts in 181 innings with a 12.1 K/9, supporting his 32% share through a heavier workload and recent double-digit strikeout outings. Jesús Luzardo, Dylan Cease, and Cam Schlittler trail further back in totals and rate metrics, leaving limited paths to overtake the top two with the regular season nearing its close. Market pricing aligns with Misiorowski's rate advantage and current edge in a low-innings-remaining environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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