MLB: Runs Leader

Pete Crow-Armstrong 99.5%

Shohei Ohtani <1%

Aaron Judge <1%

Juan Soto <1%

$1,704,048 Vol.

Sep 27, 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$1,357 Vol.

100%

Shohei Ohtani

$6,408 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Judge

$1,865 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$1,826 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Schwarber

$1,760 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$666,864 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$853 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$1,897 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$939 Vol.

<1%

Julio Rodríguez

$65,837 Vol.

<1%

José Ramírez

$1,240 Vol.

<1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong 99.5%

Shohei Ohtani <1%

Aaron Judge <1%

Juan Soto <1%

$1,704,048 Vol.

Sep 27, 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$1,357 Vol.

100%

Shohei Ohtani

$6,408 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Judge

$1,865 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$1,826 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Schwarber

$1,760 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$666,864 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$853 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$1,897 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$939 Vol.

<1%

Julio Rodríguez

$65,837 Vol.

<1%

José Ramírez

$1,240 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$553 Vol.

<1%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$970 Vol.

<1%

Gunnar Henderson

$799,193 Vol.

<1%

Mookie Betts

$1,013 Vol.

<1%

Drake Baldwin

$1,519 Vol.

<1%

Dansby Swanson

$727 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$672 Vol.

<1%

Brett Turang

$419 Vol.

<1%

Zach Neto

$627 Vol.

<1%

Luke Wood

$673 Vol.

<1%

Byron Buxton

$836 Vol.

<1%

Ben Rice

$1,345 Vol.

<1%

Jose Altuve

$527 Vol.

<1%

Yordan Alvarez

$2,744 Vol.

<1%

Randy Arozarena

$515 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Correa

$138,355 Vol.

<1%

José Bell

$1,047 Vol.

<1%

James Wood

$108 Vol.

<1%

Bryan Reynolds

$330 Vol.

<1%

Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Volume

$1,704,048

End Date

Oct 16, 2026

Market Opened

Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Volume

$1,704,048

End Date

Oct 16, 2026

Market Opened

Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 100%, followed by "Shohei Ohtani" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Runs Leader" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Runs Leader," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Runs Leader" is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "MLB: Runs Leader." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.7 million traded on “MLB: Runs Leader,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "MLB: Runs Leader," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Pete Crow-Armstrong" in the "MLB: Runs Leader" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Pete Crow-Armstrong" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "MLB: Runs Leader" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Oct 15, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "MLB: Runs Leader" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "MLB: Runs Leader." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

MLB: Runs Leader

MLB: Runs Leader

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "MLB: Runs Leader" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "MLB: Runs Leader" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "MLB: Runs Leader"?

What are the current odds for "MLB: Runs Leader"?

How will "MLB: Runs Leader" be resolved?

Can I follow "MLB: Runs Leader" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "MLB: Runs Leader" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "MLB: Runs Leader"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "Pete Crow-Armstrong" mean?

When does the "MLB: Runs Leader" market close?

What are traders saying about "MLB: Runs Leader"?

What is Polymarket?

MLB: Runs Leader

MLB: Runs Leader

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "MLB: Runs Leader" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "MLB: Runs Leader" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "MLB: Runs Leader"?

What are the current odds for "MLB: Runs Leader"?

How will "MLB: Runs Leader" be resolved?

Can I follow "MLB: Runs Leader" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "MLB: Runs Leader" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "MLB: Runs Leader"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "Pete Crow-Armstrong" mean?

When does the "MLB: Runs Leader" market close?

What are traders saying about "MLB: Runs Leader"?

What is Polymarket?