Name: MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25?
Start: 2025-08-18T10:47:15.002137Z
End: 2025-08-26T04:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

MSTR Weekly Strike

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25?

This market will resolve according to the number of Bitcoin acquired by Microstrategy between May 13, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and May 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.


archHow many Bitcoin will Microstrategy purchase May 13-19?

This market will resolve to yes if MicroStrategy purchases 14001 BTC or more between May 13, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and May 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >14000 BTC May 13-19?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases 14001 BTC or more between May 20, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >14000 BTC May 20-26?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases 14001 BTC or more between May 27, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and June 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >14000 BTC May 27-June 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases 10001 BTC or more between June 3, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and June 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between July 8, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and July 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 8-14?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases 8001 BTC or more between June 24, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 24-30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between July 1, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and July 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC July 1-7?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases 8001 BTC or more between June 10, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and June 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 10-16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases 8001 BTC or more between June 17, 12:00 AM (inclusive) and June 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 17-23?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 5-11?

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 22-28?

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 29-August 4?

MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC August 26-September 1?

MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase September 23-29?

MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 9-15?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 5-11?

MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase September 30-October 6?

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 12-18?

MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase September 16-22?

MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase October 7-13?

MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase October 14-20?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 28-November 3?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 21-27?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 4-10?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 18-24?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 9-15?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is forced to liquidate any of its Bitcoin holdings/positions by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, due to lender action or other external financial obligations beyond its control. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Forced liquidation is defined as the sale of Bitcoin by MicroStrategy or a lender as a direct result of a contractual obligation, such as a loan default, an unfulfilled margin call, or legal/regulatory enforcement requiring the company to sell. Voluntary Bitcoin sales, proactive debt repayments, or discretionary asset reallocation will not count. 

The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting. 


Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. 

The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announces that it has acquired more Bitcoin between July 24 11:00 ET, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.

An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.

The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.


Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

On March 11, Senator Lummis reintroduced the BITCOIN Act, which aims to purchase 1,000,000 Bitcoin. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1899447562790211883

This market will resolve to "Yes" if this act passes the Senate by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").

A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin comparatively outperforms the S&P 500 (SPX) in December 2025, with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the month for each asset. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT December 31, 2025 11:59 PM in the ET timezone to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT December 1, 2025 12:00 AM in the ET timezone.

The percentage change in the S&P 500 (SPX) will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 (SPX) Close price for the last trading day in December to the official S&P 500 (SPX) Close price for the last trading day in November, as reported by the Wall Street Journal.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution sources for this market are Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar, and the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices" (US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks, EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea, ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia).

Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?

On November 18, Texas Representative Giovanni Capriglione introduced H.B. 1598, a bill to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve within the state treasury (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/texas-house-introduces-bill-to-establish-a-strategic-bitcoin-reserve.html).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if H.B. 1598, the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act, is signed into law by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be official information from the Texas Legislature or a consensus of credible reporting. 

Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of Solana, either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy Solana in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of Ethereum, either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?

If a Bitcoin hard fork occurs between July 7 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes"  if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify. 


Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31? 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Hanukkah" this week? (December 15 - 21)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any weekly bar in the Kaito “Mindshare over time (L12M)” chart reaches a new all-time high at any point between November 19 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If no new all-time high occurs, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the creator’s page on Kaito. The weekly bar chart can be viewed by clicking the creator’s name at: https://yaps.kaito.ai/ct-leaderboard

A weekly bar counts as long as its date range includes the target date. A weekly bar is considered finalized once a bar for the following week is published.

Only the weekly values shown in the L12M chart are used for resolution.

If the Kaito page is temporarily unavailable at resolution time, the market will remain open until it returns. If it becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve to “No.”

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25?

Market Context

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25?

Rules

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25?

Market Context

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25?

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