Name: Mexico City Grand Prix Winner
Start: 2024-10-23T22:29:26.918874Z
End: 2024-10-27T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the winner of the Mexican Grand Prix.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lando Norris wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

Lando Norris

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Charles Leclerc wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

Charles Leclerc

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Max Verstappen wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

Max Verstappen

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Sainz wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

Carlos Sainz

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oscar Piastri wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

Oscar Piastri 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if George Russell wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

George Russell

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lewis Hamilton wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

Lewis Hamilton

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sergio Perez wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

Sergio Perez

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any driver other than Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, Max Verstappen, Carlos Sainz, Oscar Piastri, George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, or Sergio Perez wins the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix scheduled for October 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the 2024 Mexico City Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 24, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.


Other

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 La Liga.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 La Liga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Denver Broncos win the AFC West in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Denver Broncos team to win the AFC West based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 French Ligue 1. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 French Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from French Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Philadelphia Eagles team to win the NFC East based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Jacksonville Jaguars team to win the AFC South based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Los Angeles Rams team to win the NFC West based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.


Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Green Bay Packers team to win the NFC North based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers team to win the NFC South based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Serie A.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Los Angeles Rams win the 2025-26 NFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the NFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Bundesliga.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Buffalo Bills win the 2025-26 AFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the AFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New England Patriots win the AFC East in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the New England Patriots team to win the AFC East based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the Pittsburgh Steelers team to win the AFC North based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver.

If the listed driver wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 3rd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 3rd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 3rd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is awarded the 2025–26 regular season NBA Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 NBA MVP award, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 2nd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

This market refers to the bout between Damien Davila and Gabriel Mendez, scheduled for November 21, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Davila" if Damien Davila is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Mendez" if Gabriel Mendez is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 28, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Davila vs Mendez

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in last place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in last place in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in  last place in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the La Liga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the La Liga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official La Liga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the number of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 50,000 and 60,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is named the 2025–26 NFL regular season MVP. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL MVP is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. 

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Honduran Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?

The 2025 Tech Mahindra Global Chess League is scheduled for December 14-24, 2025 in Mumbai, India.

This market will resolve according to the listed team that wins the 2025 Tech Mahindra Global Chess League.

If a listed team is eliminated from this competition, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If multiple teams tie as winners of the Tech Mahindra Global Chess League, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure used by the Tech Mahindra Global Chess League.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Tech Mahindra Global Chess League (https://globalchessleague.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

Lando Norris
$48,390 Vol.
No

Charles Leclerc
$20,011 Vol.
No

Max Verstappen
$35,512 Vol.
No

Carlos Sainz
$23,859 Vol.
Yes

Oscar Piastri
$10,332 Vol.
No

George Russell
$8,429 Vol.
No

Lewis Hamilton
$13,256 Vol.
No

Sergio Perez
$7,808 Vol.
No

Other
$6,002 Vol.
No

Market Context

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

Rules

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

Market Context

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

About

Related

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

Lando Norris$48,390 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Charles Leclerc$20,011 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Max Verstappen$35,512 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Carlos Sainz$23,859 Vol.Yescircle check

Oscar Piastri $10,332 Vol.Nocircle xmark

George Russell$8,429 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lewis Hamilton$13,256 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Sergio Perez$7,808 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Other$6,002 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

Rules

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

Market Context

Mexico City Grand Prix Winner

About

Related

Lando Norris
$48,390 Vol.
No

Charles Leclerc
$20,011 Vol.
No

Max Verstappen
$35,512 Vol.
No

Carlos Sainz
$23,859 Vol.
Yes

Oscar Piastri
$10,332 Vol.
No

George Russell
$8,429 Vol.
No

Lewis Hamilton
$13,256 Vol.
No

Sergio Perez
$7,808 Vol.
No

Other
$6,002 Vol.
No