Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
$17,449,127 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities.
Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector.
Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify.
Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities.
Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector.
Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify.
Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jun 11, 2025, 10:42 PM UTC
Volume
$17,449,127End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 11, 2025, 10:42 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
$17,449,127 Vol.
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities.
Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector.
Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify.
Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities.
Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector.
Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify.
Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$17,449,127End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 11, 2025, 10:42 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
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