Market icon

July Inflation - Monthly

Market icon

July Inflation - Monthly

0.2% 100.0%

≤0.0% <1%

0.1% <1%

0.3% <1%

Polymarket

$1,089,178 Vol.

0.2% 100.0%

≤0.0% <1%

0.1% <1%

0.3% <1%

Polymarket

$1,089,178 Vol.

≤0.0%

$205,368 Vol.

No

0.1%

$177,449 Vol.

No

0.2%

$186,232 Vol.

Yes

0.3%

$149,074 Vol.

No

0.4%

$197,065 Vol.

No

≥0.5%

$173,990 Vol.

No

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in July 2025 according to the monthly BLS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,089,178
End Date
Aug 15, 2025
Created At
Jul 15, 2025, 1:36 PM ET
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in July 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"July Inflation - Monthly" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0.2%" at 100%, followed by "≤0.0%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "July Inflation - Monthly" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "July Inflation - Monthly," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "July Inflation - Monthly" is "0.2%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤0.0%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "July Inflation - Monthly" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.