Recent polling averages position Together, the Bennett-Lapid joint list contesting the October 27 Knesset election, near 11-12 seats out of 120, reflecting roughly 9-11% vote share. The alliance has seen gradual erosion since its April formation as voters consolidate around Gadi Eisenkot’s leading Yashar party within the anti-Netanyahu bloc, while surplus-vote agreements and opposition coordination efforts aim to maximize remaining seats. Fragmented centrist and right-leaning support, combined with turnout variables and late-campaign dynamics, sustain tight probabilities across the 7-13% bands. Late shifts in undecided voters or bloc realignments could still alter final allocations before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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