Recent ISM Manufacturing PMI readings have held steady at 52.7 in both March and April 2026, marking the longest streak of expansion above 50 since mid-2022, supported by firming new orders but offset by contracting employment and surging input prices amid Middle East conflict and tariff pressures. Trader positioning on the May 2026 release clusters around the 51-52 range as markets price in modest softening from the prior print, with consensus forecasts near 52.6 reflecting these mixed subindex trends and cautious panelist sentiment. Geopolitical and cost factors continue to weigh on forward expectations, while the overall economy's expansion streak provides a supportive base rate. The June 1 release stands as the immediate catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoISM Manufacturing PMI - May 2026
52,0–52,9 49%
51,0–51,9 49%
47,0–47,9 37%
50,0–50,9 37%
<47.0
36%
47,0–47,9
37%
48,0–48,9
30%
49,0–49,9
34%
50,0–50,9
37%
51,0–51,9
49%
52,0–52,9
49%
53,0–53,9
30%
54,0–54,9
37%
55,0+
8%
52,0–52,9 49%
51,0–51,9 49%
47,0–47,9 37%
50,0–50,9 37%
<47.0
36%
47,0–47,9
37%
48,0–48,9
30%
49,0–49,9
34%
50,0–50,9
37%
51,0–51,9
49%
52,0–52,9
49%
53,0–53,9
30%
54,0–54,9
37%
55,0+
8%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: May 28, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ISM Manufacturing PMI readings have held steady at 52.7 in both March and April 2026, marking the longest streak of expansion above 50 since mid-2022, supported by firming new orders but offset by contracting employment and surging input prices amid Middle East conflict and tariff pressures. Trader positioning on the May 2026 release clusters around the 51-52 range as markets price in modest softening from the prior print, with consensus forecasts near 52.6 reflecting these mixed subindex trends and cautious panelist sentiment. Geopolitical and cost factors continue to weigh on forward expectations, while the overall economy's expansion streak provides a supportive base rate. The June 1 release stands as the immediate catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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