Iran military response by...?
$2,598,181 Vol.
OUTCOMERESULT
Sunday June 22
$98,527 Vol.
No
Sunday June 22
$98,527 Vol.
No
Monday June 23
$1,913,320 Vol.
Yes
Monday June 23
$1,913,320 Vol.
Yes
Friday June 27
$258,414 Vol.
Yes
Friday June 27
$258,414 Vol.
Yes
Monday June 30
$327,920 Vol.
Yes
Monday June 30
$327,920 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, or on any U.S. territory, embassy, or consulate, between June 21, 2025 (inclusive) and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting..
Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting..
Created At: Jun 22, 2025, 12:31 AM UTC
Volume
$2,598,181End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 22, 2025, 12:31 AM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$2,598,181 Vol.
Iran military response by...?
Sunday June 22
$98,527 Vol.
No
Monday June 23
$1,913,320 Vol.
Yes
Friday June 27
$258,414 Vol.
Yes
Monday June 30
$327,920 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$2,598,181End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 22, 2025, 12:31 AM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Beware of external links.
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Beware of external links.
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