High pressure dominating western Europe has produced clear skies and steady warming across the Paris basin on May 25, with Météo-France guidance and ensemble models converging on an afternoon maximum near 31 °C under light winds and minimal cloud cover. This places the day well above the May climatological average of roughly 20 °C while remaining below heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market-implied outcome of 31 °C reflects consistent observational trends and short-range model agreement through the peak heating period. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow could cap temperatures a degree or two lower, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 25?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$134,846 Vol.
$134,846 Vol.
May 25, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$134,846 Vol.
$134,846 Vol.
May 25, 2026
24°C or below
$840 Vol.
No
25°C
$526 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,866 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,254 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,726 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,266 Vol.
No
30°C
$12,170 Vol.
No
31°C
$41,362 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$21,806 Vol.
No
33°C
$18,636 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$15,392 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure dominating western Europe has produced clear skies and steady warming across the Paris basin on May 25, with Météo-France guidance and ensemble models converging on an afternoon maximum near 31 °C under light winds and minimal cloud cover. This places the day well above the May climatological average of roughly 20 °C while remaining below heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market-implied outcome of 31 °C reflects consistent observational trends and short-range model agreement through the peak heating period. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow could cap temperatures a degree or two lower, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$134,846End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure dominating western Europe has produced clear skies and steady warming across the Paris basin on May 25, with Météo-France guidance and ensemble models converging on an afternoon maximum near 31 °C under light winds and minimal cloud cover. This places the day well above the May climatological average of roughly 20 °C while remaining below heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market-implied outcome of 31 °C reflects consistent observational trends and short-range model agreement through the peak heating period. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow could cap temperatures a degree or two lower, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$134,846End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
High pressure dominating western Europe has produced clear skies and steady warming across the Paris basin on May 25, with Météo-France guidance and ensemble models converging on an afternoon maximum near 31 °C under light winds and minimal cloud cover. This places the day well above the May climatological average of roughly 20 °C while remaining below heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market-implied outcome of 31 °C reflects consistent observational trends and short-range model agreement through the peak heating period. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow could cap temperatures a degree or two lower, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions