Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park or LaGuardia Airport—the standard stations for New York City temperature records—confirmed the highest temperature on May 12 reached 66-67°F, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This mild reading, below the typical May midday high near 70°F, stemmed from persistent cloud cover, northwest winds from a passing cold front, and scattered showers that capped daytime heating as shown in real-time satellite imagery and surface reports. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated subdued highs amid these upper-level trough patterns. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-quality control, include rare data revisions from instrument malfunctions or late metadata adjustments, but verified measurements lock in the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 12?
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$131,867 Vol.
$131,867 Vol.
May 12, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$131,867 Vol.
$131,867 Vol.
May 12, 2026
57°F or below
$2,585 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$5,244 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$7,428 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$12,163 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$27,621 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$22,308 Vol.
Yes
68-69°F
$20,285 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$10,763 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$11,626 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,861 Vol.
No
76°F or higher
$5,984 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park or LaGuardia Airport—the standard stations for New York City temperature records—confirmed the highest temperature on May 12 reached 66-67°F, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This mild reading, below the typical May midday high near 70°F, stemmed from persistent cloud cover, northwest winds from a passing cold front, and scattered showers that capped daytime heating as shown in real-time satellite imagery and surface reports. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated subdued highs amid these upper-level trough patterns. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-quality control, include rare data revisions from instrument malfunctions or late metadata adjustments, but verified measurements lock in the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$131,867End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park or LaGuardia Airport—the standard stations for New York City temperature records—confirmed the highest temperature on May 12 reached 66-67°F, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This mild reading, below the typical May midday high near 70°F, stemmed from persistent cloud cover, northwest winds from a passing cold front, and scattered showers that capped daytime heating as shown in real-time satellite imagery and surface reports. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated subdued highs amid these upper-level trough patterns. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-quality control, include rare data revisions from instrument malfunctions or late metadata adjustments, but verified measurements lock in the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$131,867End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park or LaGuardia Airport—the standard stations for New York City temperature records—confirmed the highest temperature on May 12 reached 66-67°F, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This mild reading, below the typical May midday high near 70°F, stemmed from persistent cloud cover, northwest winds from a passing cold front, and scattered showers that capped daytime heating as shown in real-time satellite imagery and surface reports. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated subdued highs amid these upper-level trough patterns. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-quality control, include rare data revisions from instrument malfunctions or late metadata adjustments, but verified measurements lock in the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions