Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature recorded at the München-Flughafen station on April 14, backed by official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations showing daytime readings peaking at 11°C amid persistent overcast skies and northwesterly winds at 10-14 km/h advecting cooler air masses from the north. High relative humidity around 80% further limited solar heating, aligning with European model consensus (ICON, GFS) that anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 13-15°C for mid-April in Munich. This positioning reflects verified hourly data up to 18:00 UTC, with no notable discrepancies. Realistic challenges would require a DWD data revision from an audit or equipment recalibration, though such events are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 14?
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$112,937 Vol.
$112,937 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$112,937 Vol.
$112,937 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature recorded at the München-Flughafen station on April 14, backed by official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations showing daytime readings peaking at 11°C amid persistent overcast skies and northwesterly winds at 10-14 km/h advecting cooler air masses from the north. High relative humidity around 80% further limited solar heating, aligning with European model consensus (ICON, GFS) that anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 13-15°C for mid-April in Munich. This positioning reflects verified hourly data up to 18:00 UTC, with no notable discrepancies. Realistic challenges would require a DWD data revision from an audit or equipment recalibration, though such events are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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