Official measurements from Spain’s State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) recorded a daytime maximum of 35°C in Madrid on May 27 under persistent high pressure and clear skies that enhanced solar heating and minimized cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts had projected values near 34°C, yet actual observations aligned precisely with the upper end of model guidance amid above-average May warmth. This outcome matches historical patterns for late-spring heat under similar synoptic setups. The sole realistic challenge would involve post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, though AEMET’s verification process makes such adjustments highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on May 27?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 27?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,281 Vol.
$88,281 Vol.
May 27, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$88,281 Vol.
$88,281 Vol.
May 27, 2026
28°C or below
$1,863 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,679 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,206 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,140 Vol.
No
32°C
$19,717 Vol.
No
33°C
$14,659 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,544 Vol.
No
35°C
$13,414 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$8,673 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,169 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,216 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) recorded a daytime maximum of 35°C in Madrid on May 27 under persistent high pressure and clear skies that enhanced solar heating and minimized cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts had projected values near 34°C, yet actual observations aligned precisely with the upper end of model guidance amid above-average May warmth. This outcome matches historical patterns for late-spring heat under similar synoptic setups. The sole realistic challenge would involve post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, though AEMET’s verification process makes such adjustments highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 25, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volume
$88,281End Date
May 27, 2026Market Opened
May 25, 2026, 12:25 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) recorded a daytime maximum of 35°C in Madrid on May 27 under persistent high pressure and clear skies that enhanced solar heating and minimized cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts had projected values near 34°C, yet actual observations aligned precisely with the upper end of model guidance amid above-average May warmth. This outcome matches historical patterns for late-spring heat under similar synoptic setups. The sole realistic challenge would involve post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, though AEMET’s verification process makes such adjustments highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$88,281End Date
May 27, 2026Market Opened
May 25, 2026, 12:25 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from Spain’s State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) recorded a daytime maximum of 35°C in Madrid on May 27 under persistent high pressure and clear skies that enhanced solar heating and minimized cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts had projected values near 34°C, yet actual observations aligned precisely with the upper end of model guidance amid above-average May warmth. This outcome matches historical patterns for late-spring heat under similar synoptic setups. The sole realistic challenge would involve post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, though AEMET’s verification process makes such adjustments highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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