India Meteorological Department observations at Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station confirm a maximum temperature of 42.2°C on April 23, 2026—3.1°C above normal—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome amid persistent clear skies and regional heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This aligns with pre-day forecasts of 42°C, real-time sensor peaks near 41.9°C during early afternoon solar insolation, and prior days' highs of 41.1°C on April 22 under similar high-pressure subsidence suppressing clouds and rainfall. Diurnal cooling post-sunset (18:34 IST) limits further rises, though rare adiabatic spikes or post hoc data revisions could challenge it; final IMD bulletin expected soon will confirm resolution per official methodology.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 23?
42°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$75,034 Vol.
$75,034 Vol.
39°C or below
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
42°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$75,034 Vol.
$75,034 Vol.
39°C or below
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
India Meteorological Department observations at Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station confirm a maximum temperature of 42.2°C on April 23, 2026—3.1°C above normal—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome amid persistent clear skies and regional heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This aligns with pre-day forecasts of 42°C, real-time sensor peaks near 41.9°C during early afternoon solar insolation, and prior days' highs of 41.1°C on April 22 under similar high-pressure subsidence suppressing clouds and rainfall. Diurnal cooling post-sunset (18:34 IST) limits further rises, though rare adiabatic spikes or post hoc data revisions could challenge it; final IMD bulletin expected soon will confirm resolution per official methodology.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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