Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,935 Vol.
$85,935 Vol.
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,935 Vol.
$85,935 Vol.
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
$1,631 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,176 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,076 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,886 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,221 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,398 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,745 Vol.
No
28°C
$22,723 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,777 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$11,974 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$7,328 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$85,935End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$85,935End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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