Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance projected a daily high in the upper 80s for Austin on May 25 under building high pressure, light winds, and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on the 88-89°F outcome. This setup reflects typical late-May climatology in central Texas, where average highs climb toward 89°F amid seasonal warming and minimal synoptic disruption. Limited moisture return or convective development kept uncertainty low, as confirmed observational trends and ensemble runs showed little deviation. New model updates or unexpected boundary-layer changes could have introduced minor shifts, but none materialized to challenge the dominant positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on May 25?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 25?
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$52,721 Vol.
$52,721 Vol.
May 25, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$52,721 Vol.
$52,721 Vol.
May 25, 2026
73°F or below
$6,115 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$387 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$6,494 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$6,241 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,267 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,246 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,964 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,067 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,555 Vol.
Yes
90-91°F
$4,508 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$3,878 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance projected a daily high in the upper 80s for Austin on May 25 under building high pressure, light winds, and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on the 88-89°F outcome. This setup reflects typical late-May climatology in central Texas, where average highs climb toward 89°F amid seasonal warming and minimal synoptic disruption. Limited moisture return or convective development kept uncertainty low, as confirmed observational trends and ensemble runs showed little deviation. New model updates or unexpected boundary-layer changes could have introduced minor shifts, but none materialized to challenge the dominant positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$52,721End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance projected a daily high in the upper 80s for Austin on May 25 under building high pressure, light winds, and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on the 88-89°F outcome. This setup reflects typical late-May climatology in central Texas, where average highs climb toward 89°F amid seasonal warming and minimal synoptic disruption. Limited moisture return or convective development kept uncertainty low, as confirmed observational trends and ensemble runs showed little deviation. New model updates or unexpected boundary-layer changes could have introduced minor shifts, but none materialized to challenge the dominant positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$52,721End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance projected a daily high in the upper 80s for Austin on May 25 under building high pressure, light winds, and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on the 88-89°F outcome. This setup reflects typical late-May climatology in central Texas, where average highs climb toward 89°F amid seasonal warming and minimal synoptic disruption. Limited moisture return or convective development kept uncertainty low, as confirmed observational trends and ensemble runs showed little deviation. New model updates or unexpected boundary-layer changes could have introduced minor shifts, but none materialized to challenge the dominant positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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