Trader consensus has converged on 84-85°F as Austin’s highest temperature for May 20, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations confirming that exact daily maximum under stable late-spring conditions. Central Texas atmospheric patterns, including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, produced readings consistent with historical May climatology around 82-87°F at the primary Austin-Bergstrom station. National Weather Service forecast discussions and model guidance issued the prior day aligned closely with this outcome, showing low uncertainty in the verification process. While official records undergo quality control that occasionally adjusts preliminary values by 1°F, any post-event revision pushing the high outside this narrow band remains statistically rare given the dense observational network and established measurement protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on May 20?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 20?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$61,494 Vol.
$61,494 Vol.
May 20, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$61,494 Vol.
$61,494 Vol.
May 20, 2026
73°F or below
$2,430 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$825 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,667 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,538 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,612 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$35,120 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$5,663 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$2,689 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,260 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$1,425 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$6,265 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on 84-85°F as Austin’s highest temperature for May 20, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations confirming that exact daily maximum under stable late-spring conditions. Central Texas atmospheric patterns, including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, produced readings consistent with historical May climatology around 82-87°F at the primary Austin-Bergstrom station. National Weather Service forecast discussions and model guidance issued the prior day aligned closely with this outcome, showing low uncertainty in the verification process. While official records undergo quality control that occasionally adjusts preliminary values by 1°F, any post-event revision pushing the high outside this narrow band remains statistically rare given the dense observational network and established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$61,494End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on 84-85°F as Austin’s highest temperature for May 20, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations confirming that exact daily maximum under stable late-spring conditions. Central Texas atmospheric patterns, including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, produced readings consistent with historical May climatology around 82-87°F at the primary Austin-Bergstrom station. National Weather Service forecast discussions and model guidance issued the prior day aligned closely with this outcome, showing low uncertainty in the verification process. While official records undergo quality control that occasionally adjusts preliminary values by 1°F, any post-event revision pushing the high outside this narrow band remains statistically rare given the dense observational network and established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,494End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has converged on 84-85°F as Austin’s highest temperature for May 20, driven by verified observations from National Weather Service stations confirming that exact daily maximum under stable late-spring conditions. Central Texas atmospheric patterns, including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, produced readings consistent with historical May climatology around 82-87°F at the primary Austin-Bergstrom station. National Weather Service forecast discussions and model guidance issued the prior day aligned closely with this outcome, showing low uncertainty in the verification process. While official records undergo quality control that occasionally adjusts preliminary values by 1°F, any post-event revision pushing the high outside this narrow band remains statistically rare given the dense observational network and established measurement protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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