Latest National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Austin on June 22, driven by typical early-summer insolation under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly flow and Gulf moisture. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from potential scattered afternoon convection, which could limit heating, versus clearer periods allowing readings to reach 96–97°F. June climatology shows average highs near 93–95°F with high day-to-day variability tied to humidity and cloud cover; recent model runs have narrowed the most likely range to 92–97°F, explaining the market's concentration around 94–95°F while leaving room for shifts from updated forecasts or mesoscale features.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 22?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 22?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$32,232 Vol.
$32,232 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$32,232 Vol.
$32,232 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
83°F or below
$216 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,443 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,203 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,792 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$3,691 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$4,079 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$7,964 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$6,614 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$2,702 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,997 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$530 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Austin on June 22, driven by typical early-summer insolation under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly flow and Gulf moisture. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from potential scattered afternoon convection, which could limit heating, versus clearer periods allowing readings to reach 96–97°F. June climatology shows average highs near 93–95°F with high day-to-day variability tied to humidity and cloud cover; recent model runs have narrowed the most likely range to 92–97°F, explaining the market's concentration around 94–95°F while leaving room for shifts from updated forecasts or mesoscale features.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Volume
$32,232End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Austin on June 22, driven by typical early-summer insolation under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly flow and Gulf moisture. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from potential scattered afternoon convection, which could limit heating, versus clearer periods allowing readings to reach 96–97°F. June climatology shows average highs near 93–95°F with high day-to-day variability tied to humidity and cloud cover; recent model runs have narrowed the most likely range to 92–97°F, explaining the market's concentration around 94–95°F while leaving room for shifts from updated forecasts or mesoscale features.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,232End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Austin on June 22, driven by typical early-summer insolation under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly flow and Gulf moisture. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from potential scattered afternoon convection, which could limit heating, versus clearer periods allowing readings to reach 96–97°F. June climatology shows average highs near 93–95°F with high day-to-day variability tied to humidity and cloud cover; recent model runs have narrowed the most likely range to 92–97°F, explaining the market's concentration around 94–95°F while leaving room for shifts from updated forecasts or mesoscale features.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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