Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
$28,623,187 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike.
Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify.
Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike.
Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify.
Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jun 15, 2025, 7:16 PM
Volume
$28,623,187End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 15, 2025, 7:16 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
$28,623,187 Vol.
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike.
Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify.
Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike.
Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify.
Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,623,187End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 15, 2025, 7:16 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
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Beware of external links.