Market icon

Fed rate cut in 2025?

>99% chance

$1,391,680 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 4 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,391,680
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Mar 5, 2025, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 4 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Fed rate cut in 2025?

>99% chance

$1,391,680 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 4 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,391,680
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Mar 5, 2025, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 4 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.