Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by 122 points with 468 after 13 rounds, driven by consistent double-scoring weekends and multiple victories from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s early-season pace advantage under the new regulations, combined with strong reliability and points hauls at circuits like Australia, China, Japan, Miami, and Monza, has created a buffer that rivals have not closed despite later upgrades from Ferrari and McLaren. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this gap and the remaining calendar’s limited scope for dramatic swings, though scenarios such as sustained reliability problems, a late surge in Ferrari or McLaren development, or repeated non-finishes could still narrow the margin before the final rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 96.0%
Ferrari 3.3%
McLaren <1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,845,718 Vol.
$28,845,718 Vol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
96%
Ferrari
3%
McLaren
1%
Red Bull Racing
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 96.0%
Ferrari 3.3%
McLaren <1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,845,718 Vol.
$28,845,718 Vol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
$1,104,918 Vol.
96%
Ferrari
$815,367 Vol.
3%
McLaren
$1,850,424 Vol.
1%
Red Bull Racing
$1,093,228 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$3,243,181 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$3,351,049 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by 122 points with 468 after 13 rounds, driven by consistent double-scoring weekends and multiple victories from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s early-season pace advantage under the new regulations, combined with strong reliability and points hauls at circuits like Australia, China, Japan, Miami, and Monza, has created a buffer that rivals have not closed despite later upgrades from Ferrari and McLaren. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this gap and the remaining calendar’s limited scope for dramatic swings, though scenarios such as sustained reliability problems, a late surge in Ferrari or McLaren development, or repeated non-finishes could still narrow the margin before the final rounds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$28,845,718End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by 122 points with 468 after 13 rounds, driven by consistent double-scoring weekends and multiple victories from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s early-season pace advantage under the new regulations, combined with strong reliability and points hauls at circuits like Australia, China, Japan, Miami, and Monza, has created a buffer that rivals have not closed despite later upgrades from Ferrari and McLaren. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this gap and the remaining calendar’s limited scope for dramatic swings, though scenarios such as sustained reliability problems, a late surge in Ferrari or McLaren development, or repeated non-finishes could still narrow the margin before the final rounds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$28,845,718End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by 122 points with 468 after 13 rounds, driven by consistent double-scoring weekends and multiple victories from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s early-season pace advantage under the new regulations, combined with strong reliability and points hauls at circuits like Australia, China, Japan, Miami, and Monza, has created a buffer that rivals have not closed despite later upgrades from Ferrari and McLaren. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this gap and the remaining calendar’s limited scope for dramatic swings, though scenarios such as sustained reliability problems, a late surge in Ferrari or McLaren development, or repeated non-finishes could still narrow the margin before the final rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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