Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship by a commanding margin, with 503 points to Ferrari’s 358, McLaren’s 306, and Red Bull’s 230, reflecting the team’s consistent double-points finishes and multiple victories driven by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. Strong qualifying pace, race reliability, and both drivers’ ability to maximize results have kept rivals at bay through the latest rounds, including strong showings at Monza and Madrid. With roughly eight races remaining, the gap exceeds 140 points, aligning with the market’s 96.2% implied probability. A realistic challenge would require Mercedes to encounter repeated reliability failures or major pace regressions while at least one rival delivers a sustained run of upgrades and results, though historical patterns show such turnarounds are rare this late in a dominant season.