Early tracking for *Digger* has emerged as the main driver of trader sentiment, with NRG figures pointing to a soft domestic debut near $20 million for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy from Alejandro G. Iñárritu. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on the $23–29 million range, reflecting tempered expectations for an original awards-oriented release rather than a broad commercial hit. Mixed trailer reactions, a reported $125 million-plus budget, and its positioning as a slow-burn prestige play akin to prior Iñárritu or Cruise vehicles have capped upside projections, while star power and IMAX/VistaVision rollout provide a floor. The London premiere on September 22 and impending presales data represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the October 2 wide release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office
29m+ 50%
17-20m 23%
23-26m 23%
26-29m 23%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<17m
19%
17-20m
23%
20-23m
17%
23-26m
23%
26-29m
23%
29m+
39%
29m+ 50%
17-20m 23%
23-26m 23%
26-29m 23%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<17m
$0 Vol.
19%
17-20m
$0 Vol.
23%
20-23m
$0 Vol.
17%
23-26m
$0 Vol.
23%
26-29m
$0 Vol.
23%
29m+
$80 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Early tracking for *Digger* has emerged as the main driver of trader sentiment, with NRG figures pointing to a soft domestic debut near $20 million for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy from Alejandro G. Iñárritu. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on the $23–29 million range, reflecting tempered expectations for an original awards-oriented release rather than a broad commercial hit. Mixed trailer reactions, a reported $125 million-plus budget, and its positioning as a slow-burn prestige play akin to prior Iñárritu or Cruise vehicles have capped upside projections, while star power and IMAX/VistaVision rollout provide a floor. The London premiere on September 22 and impending presales data represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the October 2 wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$80End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Early tracking for *Digger* has emerged as the main driver of trader sentiment, with NRG figures pointing to a soft domestic debut near $20 million for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy from Alejandro G. Iñárritu. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on the $23–29 million range, reflecting tempered expectations for an original awards-oriented release rather than a broad commercial hit. Mixed trailer reactions, a reported $125 million-plus budget, and its positioning as a slow-burn prestige play akin to prior Iñárritu or Cruise vehicles have capped upside projections, while star power and IMAX/VistaVision rollout provide a floor. The London premiere on September 22 and impending presales data represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the October 2 wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$80End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early tracking for *Digger* has emerged as the main driver of trader sentiment, with NRG figures pointing to a soft domestic debut near $20 million for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy from Alejandro G. Iñárritu. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on the $23–29 million range, reflecting tempered expectations for an original awards-oriented release rather than a broad commercial hit. Mixed trailer reactions, a reported $125 million-plus budget, and its positioning as a slow-burn prestige play akin to prior Iñárritu or Cruise vehicles have capped upside projections, while star power and IMAX/VistaVision rollout provide a floor. The London premiere on September 22 and impending presales data represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the October 2 wide release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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