Name: Circle IPO in 2025?
Start: 2024-12-29T22:44:23.039924Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Circle completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.

If Circle is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Circle IPO in 2025?

Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has officially filed for an IPO, planning to list on the NYSE under the symbol 'CRCL' with a reported revenue of $1.7 billion in 2024. The filing reveals a significant valuation target of $4-6 billion, marking a pivotal moment for the crypto industry amidst mixed financial metrics and competitive pressures.

Circle Files IPO

JUST IN: Circle $USDC stablecoin issuer files for IPO.

Nothing to love in the Circle IPO filing and no idea how it prices at $5b:
- Gross margins getting crushed w/ distribution costs 
- Core US market being deregulated and banks + FI's about to crash the private party
- Spending over $250m / year in compensation + another $140m in https://t.co/VSUYdxbkgl https://t.co/voLZXfQ8df

i worked at goldman sachs and blackstone. graduated @Wharton. analysed hundreds of IPOs.

the @circle IPO is hands-down one of the most important events in crypto history.

here's what you need to know from their S-1: 

1/ how does circle make money?

you're probably wondering

Breaking: Huge. As I have been saying since 2024, @circle officially submits S-1 and files for a #NYSE IPO.

@circle is the issuer of $USDC Stable Coin. The digital dollar.

https://t.co/N5pBc2IaiR

Symbol: "CRCL" https://t.co/0SyOUycTr4

🚨 BREAKING: Circle has filed for an IPO, planning to list its Class A common stock on the NYSE under the symbol ‘CRCL’. https://t.co/ugM1P1mL1c

Breaking News 🚨

Stablecoin giant Circle has filed for IPO, plans to list on NYSE under ‘CRCL’!

Last cycle, Coinbase IPO pushed the crypto market to new highs.

I hope Circle IPO will result in something similar. https://t.co/D53oQgSl8y

孙哥今晚说 FDUSD 的发行商 First Digital Trust 无法兑付。背后原因是他和 TUSD 有兑付纠纷。而FDT在托管TUSD。
结果 FDUSD 瞬间暴跌，一度打到了 0.87。
然后就是币安维稳，大户套利， FDUSD  反弹回0.98。
不过社区推特情绪还是炸了。

很巧前一天刚好Circle向SEC提交IPO的申请。Circle是 USDC

We finally get our first stablecoin IPO! Some thoughts on the Circle S1. 👇

IPO szn is here. Circle is targeting a $4B valuation—the biggest crypto listing since Coinbase. They reported 

- $1.7bn revenue, 
-39.3% gross margin, 
- and an operating profit of $167m

🚨 Circle Files for IPO

$1.7B revenues (+16% y/y)
$285M EBIDTA (-29% y/y)
$155M Net Income (-42%) https://t.co/qHldPakfRr

🟥 Things I’m looking at today 🟥

BTC above $85k, ‘Liberation Day’ for tariffs, Circle files for IPO

Subscribe: https://t.co/Q2rb7DFtRG

Crypto

* BTC: 85.1k (+1%), ETH: 1880 (0%), SOL: 126 (-2%)
* Top Gainers: EOS, CRO, BONK, MKR, LEO
* BTC ETFs: -$158mn, ETH ETFs: -$4mn
* https://t.co/QndYdbXXlM

🚨 CONFIRMED: @jerallaire announces @circle is going public with an IPO on the NYSE under ‘CRCL’—a game-changer for the USDC issuer that reported $1.7 billion in reserve income. 📈 https://t.co/i7ErrcShTe

Circle filed for an IPO.

They made 156M in ‘24 and want to go public at 5B. A 32x multiplier.

Tether made 13.7B in ‘24 - following the same logic their valuation is $438B?

Best part, Tether is one of the largest shareholders and backers of Rumble.

I can’t wait for the future.

🚨NEW: As @circle files with the @SECGov for its IPO, Chief Strategy Officer @ddisparte endorses the House’s STABLE Act set to be marked up tomorrow, urging a swift and bipartisan passage out of committee. https://t.co/IUw8lwKw03

The Morning Minute (4.2)

⏰Top News:
-Crypto majors chop ahead of Liberation Day; Bitcoin at $84,700
-Circle officially files for IPO, discloses financials
-GameStop raises $1.48B to buy Bitcoin in stock offering
-Kaito debuts new Earn page as next feature in its eco
-Steady https://t.co/dpKunF0G0N

JUST IN: CIRCLE FILES FOR IPO

-SEC FILING https://t.co/nYC4bZPsKD

Circle files for IPO https://t.co/c1GEy9BfFj

BREAKING: Circle publicly files for an IPO

.@circle just filed for IPO.

their coin $USDC looks primed to break out (been sitting at $1 for years). https://t.co/JabRxeL88P

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 CIRCLE FILES FOR IPO. https://t.co/pYlyqlFr3w

Aave mentioned in Circle's IPO filing. Make sense since 7% of USDC circulation is supplied into Aave, makes around 70% of the USDC market share in DeFi. https://t.co/ETg84bXaUZ

The Circle IPO will have all of Wall Street researching Stablecoins.

Tether is more profitable than Blackrock.

A sentiment shift is coming… https://t.co/WdazAW5ASH

Partner costs are probably the biggest line item to pay attention to, but also the most misunderstood line item, coming out of Circle’s IPO filing.

Today, Coinbase takes the lion share of USDC revenue as the primary distribution partner. $900m ish of that $1 billion number. https://t.co/z7sFKTJRKw

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Circle $USDC Has Filed For A United States IPO!💥📈 https://t.co/G9U85LiChk

JUST IN: $USDC stablecoin issuer Circle files for IPO.

Circle, the stablecoin issuer $USDC, filed for an IPO.

Meanwhile, here are how two recent IPO stocks have performed:

CoreWeave $CRWV up 33% this week
Newsmax $NMAX up 2700% in TWO DAYS!!! https://t.co/kdpwAfaMkv

congrats to @circle on filing their S-1 / IPO today 

it’s great to have more high quality public crypto companies and equities research coverage

gratz @jerallaire on the overnight success - fond memories buying corn on Circle in ‘15 and our early years @DCGco

1/ Highlights from Circle's IPO filing

- Key Operating Metrics as of 12/31/24:
   - USDC in circulation: $43.9B (+80% YoY) 
   - Stablecoin market share: 24% (+4 pp YoY) 
   - Meaningful wallets: $4.3M (+53% YoY)

- Key Financial Metrics as of 12/31/24:
   - Revenue: $1.7B (+16%

Circle IPO update:

At a rumored $4–6B equity valuation (minus the $700M cash for EV), Circle trades at:

10.4–16.8× adj. EBITDA (includes $50M+ stock comp)

25.6–38.5× P/E

2.4–3.5× sales

Cheaper than most fintech peers on sales. Not cheap on earnings. 

First public stablecoin https://t.co/BALKuZNvcU https://t.co/Dnk3x4QDdN

Circle IPO S1 解读

- 2024年总营收~$1.7B (+16% YoY)，收入高度依赖「USDC规模×利率」。牛市导致USDC规模回升，但受USDT竞争市场份额并没回升太多；利率敏感性强，之前加息周期躺赚，现在进入降息周期会压缩收入
- 分销成本奇高 ~$10B (+14% YoY)，绝大多数贡献给 Coinbase ($910M)，根据 Coinbase https://t.co/u8VpvSmScW

Key stats about USDC as Circle files for IPO:

1) Current USDC supply sits at just over $60b, up from a low of under $24b in 2023.

2) 60% of USDC supply is on Ethereum, followed by 16% on Solana and 6% on Base. Ethereum dominance was over 85% in early 2023.

3) USDC's share of https://t.co/vR8RfbEQY6

Discussions and promotions surrounding the Circle IPO have started gaining traction. The buzz is generating significant attention and engagement across social media platforms.

Circle IPO Shilling Begins

They have already started shilling the Circle IPO. https://t.co/Sl8fdsNhhP

Circle, the issuer of USDC, is exploring a potential $5 billion sale to Coinbase or Ripple while simultaneously pursuing IPO plans. Reports indicate Ripple's $4-5 billion offer was rejected, positioning Coinbase as a frontrunner amid intensifying competition in the stablecoin market.

Circle Eyes Acquisition

absolutely bonkers battle for Circle rn

• ripple bid pumped to $11B from $4B in april
• coinbase owns half the revenue already
• eth devs threatening to nuke USDC if ripple wins
• circle quietly dropped payments network yesterday
• circle IPO filing at $4B looking real

Big moves in crypto? @Coinbase may be eyeing @Circle🚀

—Rumors suggest Coinbase could acquire USDC issuer Circle, despite Circle’s IPO plans.
—The two already split USDC revenue 50/50, making a deal strategically logical.
—Coinbase has $8B in cash and a history of aggressive

Ripple and Coinbase are reportedly competing to acquire Circle ahead of its IPO.
If Ripple wins, combining XRP with USDC could mark the rise of a U.S.-led global digital bank.

🔗 https://t.co/a7mSEYmuIA

#Ripple #USDC #Circle #XRP #Stablecoins https://t.co/PT4dfvlhhr

Circle Pursues IPO Amid Acquisition Talks

Circle, the issuer of USDC, is pursuing an IPO with a target valuation of $5 billion. Simultaneously, the company is in informal talks with Ripple and Coinbase regarding a potential acquisition. Circle reportedly rejected a $4-5 billion

🔄 Circle Considers $5B Sale Amid IPO Plans

@circle, issuer of $USDC, is exploring a $5B sale to @coinbase or @Ripple while pursuing an IPO. Ripple's $4–5B offer was declined; Coinbase's existing ties may make it a preferred buyer.

#Circle #USDC #Coinbase #Ripple #CryptoNews https://t.co/Lu0xNSeiDV

BREAKING: Reports emerge of Coinbase potentially acquiring Circle, the issuer of USDC, amid IPO preparations! 🇺🇸

Circle’s IPO may simply loop back to M&amp;A - @KarenKKwok - https://t.co/1nczOneNCL https://t.co/kekNQ4brjv

Circle pursues IPO—but sources say the company is also holding sales talks with Coinbase and Ripple | Fortune https://t.co/JhRm6N6ldL

Circle pursues IPO—but sources say the company is also holding sales talks with Coinbase and Ripple | Fortune https://t.co/U8xAqLI0fO

Circle plans IPO but talks with Ripple, Coinbase could lead to sale: Report

🚨 Chime files for IPO.
📈 Bitcoin hits $107K.
💸 Circle eyes $5B sale.
🌐 Web3 goes from buzzword to backbone.

The future of finance just accelerated.

🔗 https://t.co/O8q7hPmACH 
#Crypto #Fintech #Web3 #Bitcoin #DeFi #Stablecoins #DigitalAssets #Leadership #CryptoCMO https://t.co/n9Eyl4iaE2

1. Circle's battle is wild: $XRP bid skyrocketed from $4B to $11B since April, Coinbase holds half the revenue, and $ETH devs are threatening to tank USDC if $XRP wins. Circle's sneaky payment network drop and $4B IPO filing? Big moves or big smoke?

2. Whale watch on $HOUSE: Two

Circle reportedly offered itself to Coinbase after rejecting Ripple’s $4/5B bid even as it moves forward with IPO plans. 

The race to control the on-chain finance stack is heating up:

@Ripple: Massive treasury ($150B market cap, $11.8B liquid, $95.7B in escrow), but still https://t.co/Nk2XYHYSy2

#Circle is pursuing a $5B IPO but is also in talks with Ripple and Coinbase for a potential sale.

#Ripple’s $4B–$5B offer was rejected. A deal could reshape the stablecoin landscape and USDC’s role in crypto.
https://t.co/futZfMQ5aM

#Circle is moving toward a $5B IPO but is also in talks with Ripple and Coinbase for a potential sale.

Ripple’s $4B–$5B offer was rejected. A sale could reshape the stablecoin landscape, significantly impacting USDC’s role in crypto markets.

https://t.co/o4XtGaantZ

Circle explores possible sale to Coinbase or Ripple amid IPO plans https://t.co/osdznoyEsI https://t.co/wdDq81itXV https://t.co/svTvlMAv6O https://t.co/n5njLBG9Ff

🚨🚨 Circle rejects Ripple’s XRP-based $5B bid and explores sale amid IPO freeze. Coinbase emerges as lead contender as stablecoin rules tighten and global bond markets shift.

https://t.co/11E6ibvPjd https://t.co/6RYH6o5FdW

Circle Seeking at Least $5,000,000,000 for Coinbase Acquisition, Potentially Nixing IPO Plans: Report https://t.co/1ddgqXKKPR

💰 @circle reportedly explored a $5B sale to Coinbase or Ripple instead of moving forward with its IPO.

Talks remain informal, but the stablecoin giant's future may hinge on who makes the next move.

📰:https://t.co/iORMdQ0ork https://t.co/QbDvkTVJx1

Exciting developments in the crypto world as rumors suggest Coinbase is in talks to acquire Circle, the issuer of USDC, ahead of its IPO. This potential deal could significantly reshape the stablecoin landscape. Read more about it here: https://t.co/5gk2CPjw3Z

#WorthReading  https://t.co/C1f7losErl Circle Has Explored Potential $5B Sale to Coinbase or Ripple Instead of IPO: Report

Circle Seeking at Least $5,000,000,000 for Coinbase Acquisition, Potentially Nixing IPO Plans: Report https://t.co/CEZyvZWTXJ

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

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If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

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Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

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Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.

OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.

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If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.

If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will 

The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes"  if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phantom officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cluely announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

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Will Cluely declare bankruptcy in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Snapchat by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where Snapchat is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between Snapchat and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Snapchat and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Snapchat acquired in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sentient officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Sentient (https://www.sentient.xyz/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cluely achieves a public valuation of $1 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 billion or more between June 30 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Cluely or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be Cluely's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Axiom officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axiom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Perplexity AI will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Apple (Apple inc.) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Perplexity AI will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple or Perplexity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stable officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Stable (https://www.stable.xyz/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rabby officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Rabby, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Infinex (https://infinex.xyz/) officially launches a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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The primary resolution source for this market will be information from prjx.com, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led by him, enters into an agreement to buy OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

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An agreement to merge with an entity led by Elon Musk will count toward "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

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NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Citigroup launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The stablecoin must be officially announced and made available for transactions by Citigroup or a subsidiary under its direct control.

The token must be actively transferrable and/or tradable; announcements alone will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Citigroup and its representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Citigroup launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

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Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between January 1 and market close on December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

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NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

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Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Meta Platforms, Inc. announces their intention to sell Instagram by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A public announcement of the intention to sell Instagram will qualify even if a sale has not been finalized. This includes any formal declaration made by Meta Platforms, Inc. or its authorized representatives regarding their plans to sell or transfer ownership of Instagram.

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Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

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Will iRobot announce bankruptcy before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Bybit, official representatives of Bybit (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that Bybit is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Bybit insolvent in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Infrared (https://x.com/InfraredFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Infrared, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a real-money trade is publicly placed on a regulated, Polymarket-operated Designated Contract Market (DCM) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that xAI will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Tesla (Tesla inc.) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by xAI will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Monad launches a token
- MetaMask launches a token
- Lighter launches a token
- Opensea launches a token
- Meteora launches a token

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the above-specified projects do not launch a token during this market’s above-specified time frame.

For a qualifying launch, the token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective projects; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Token Launch Party Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token Hyperliquid ($HYPE) is listed for spot purchase on Coinbase by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Coinbase, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download
- OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser
- Apple releases a new AirTag product
- Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public
- Grokipedia is made available to the general public

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

Qualifying releases during this market's timeframe will count, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Tech.pdf 

Tech Release Parlay

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Broadcom currently scheduled to take place on December 11, 2025 at 5:00 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Broadcom say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zama officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Zama, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Felix Protocol officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Felix Protocol, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Circle IPO in 2025?

Market Context

Circle IPO in 2025?

Rules

Circle IPO in 2025?

Market Context

Circle IPO in 2025?

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