Cid Gomes (PSB) holds the strongest position for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 Senate election, backed by consistent leads in late-September polls from Datafolha (23%), Real Time Big Data (26%), and Paraná Pesquisas (45.3% in combined first-and-second preferences). These surveys show him ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede), who remain within or near the margin of error for second place, while Alcides Fernandes (PL) and lower-polling names trail further. The two-seat contest structure and high undecided share keep the field fluid, yet trader pricing aligns with Cid’s sustained frontrunner status across multiple recent surveys. No major campaign developments have shifted the ordering in the past week.