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Canada election called before 2025?

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Canada election called before 2025?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$22,249 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$22,249 Vol.

The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. Members of the Canadian opposition are calling for a new election as early as December 2024. For more information, see: https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/poilievre-demands-election-before-trump-inauguration This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2024 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. Members of the Canadian opposition are calling for a new election as early as December 2024. For more information, see: https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/poilievre-demands-election-before-trump-inauguration

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2024 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$22,249
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Dec 17, 2024, 1:35 PM ET
The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. Members of the Canadian opposition are calling for a new election as early as December 2024. For more information, see: https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/poilievre-demands-election-before-trump-inauguration This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2024 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. Members of the Canadian opposition are calling for a new election as early as December 2024. For more information, see: https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/poilievre-demands-election-before-trump-inauguration This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2024 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. Members of the Canadian opposition are calling for a new election as early as December 2024. For more information, see: https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/poilievre-demands-election-before-trump-inauguration

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2024 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$22,249
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Dec 17, 2024, 1:35 PM ET
The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. Members of the Canadian opposition are calling for a new election as early as December 2024. For more information, see: https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/poilievre-demands-election-before-trump-inauguration This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2024 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Canada election called before 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Canada election called before 2025?" has generated $22.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 17, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Canada election called before 2025?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Canada election called before 2025?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Canada election called before 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.