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icon for Bolivia Presidential Election

Bolivia Presidential Election

icon for Bolivia Presidential Election

Bolivia Presidential Election

Rodrigo Paz 100.0%

Luis Arce <1%

Andrónico Rodríguez <1%

Samuel Doria Medina <1%

Polymarket

$28,370,985 Vol.

Rodrigo Paz 100.0%

Luis Arce <1%

Andrónico Rodríguez <1%

Samuel Doria Medina <1%

Polymarket

$28,370,985 Vol.

icon for Luis Arce

Luis Arce

$203,278 Vol.

No

icon for Andrónico Rodríguez

Andrónico Rodríguez

$7,326,759 Vol.

No

icon for Samuel Doria Medina

Samuel Doria Medina

$1,166,200 Vol.

No

icon for Manfred Reyes Villa

Manfred Reyes Villa

$842,587 Vol.

No

icon for Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga

Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga

$6,479,504 Vol.

No

icon for Chi Hyun Chung

Chi Hyun Chung

$119,580 Vol.

No

icon for Jaime Dunn

Jaime Dunn

$500,979 Vol.

No

icon for Rodrigo Paz

Rodrigo Paz

$6,918,533 Vol.

Yes

icon for José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín

José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín

$466,631 Vol.

No

icon for Jhonny Fernández

Jhonny Fernández

$423,800 Vol.

No

icon for Antonio Saravia

Antonio Saravia

$403,472 Vol.

No

icon for Gualberto Cusi Mamani

Gualberto Cusi Mamani

$291,239 Vol.

No

icon for Ruth Nina

Ruth Nina

$228,826 Vol.

No

icon for Evo Morales

Evo Morales

$306,926 Vol.

No

icon for Carlos Mesa

Carlos Mesa

$289,030 Vol.

No

icon for Luis Fernando Camacho

Luis Fernando Camacho

$302,896 Vol.

No

icon for Branko Marinković

Branko Marinković

$337,383 Vol.

No

icon for María Galindo

María Galindo

$227,705 Vol.

No

icon for Rubén Costas

Rubén Costas

$439,069 Vol.

No

icon for Eduardo del Castillo

Eduardo del Castillo

$507,901 Vol.

No

icon for Eva Copa

Eva Copa

$588,688 Vol.

No

The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Volume
$28,370,985
End Date
Oct 19, 2025
Market Opened
May 10, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Volume
$28,370,985
End Date
Oct 19, 2025
Market Opened
May 10, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bolivia Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rodrigo Paz" at 100%, followed by "Luis Arce" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bolivia Presidential Election" has generated $28.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bolivia Presidential Election," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bolivia Presidential Election" is "Rodrigo Paz" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Luis Arce" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bolivia Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.