Name: Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?
Start: 2026-01-02T23:29:35.723214Z
End: 2026-01-09T21:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."

<$210

$210-$215

$215-$220

$220-$225

$225-$230

$230-$235

$235-$240

$240-$245

$245-$250

$250-$255

>$255

AMZN Neg Risk Weekly

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Nov 17 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Dec 1 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Nov 24 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Dec 8 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Dec 15 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Dec 29 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Dec 22 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 12 at ___?

If the Bill Ackman Index performs better than the S&P 500 Index in January 2026, this market will resolve to “Ackman”. If the S&P 500 Index performs better than the Bill Ackman Index in January 2026, this market will resolve to “S&P”. 

The performance of each index will be the 1-month trailing percentage return of the index for the final trading day of the specified month.

The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680

Information from the "Performance" table for the Bill Ackman Index, specifically the 1-month trailing percentage return figures found under "1M", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified month.

If the Bill Ackman Index’s 1-month trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified month is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next month is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-month trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified month.

The resolution source for S&P 500 ("S&P") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

Information from the "Historical Prices" table for the S&P 500 will be used to resolve this market. The S&P 500’s 1-month trailing percentage return will be calculated as the percentage change between the S&P 500’s closing price on the final trading day of the specified month and its closing price on the same calendar day of the previous month. If the relevant day in the previous month was not a trading day, the most recent trading day before this day will be used. If the same calendar day does not exist in the previous month, the return will be calculated using the final trading day of the previous month. Note that all relevant figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If either of the relevant days lack a specified closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price for that day.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price or 1-month return figure published for each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If both indices perform exactly the same over this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50.

Updates to historical prices or figures displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

Ackman vs. S&P - January

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.

Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.” 

This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.

If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

<$210
$10,949 Vol.
No

$210-$215
$6,311 Vol.
No

$215-$220
$7,645 Vol.
No

$220-$225
$7,650 Vol.
No

$225-$230
$14,362 Vol.
No

$230-$235
$2,074 Vol.
No

$235-$240
$3,224 Vol.
No

$240-$245
$1,662 Vol.
No

$245-$250
$6,303 Vol.
Yes

$250-$255
$3,496 Vol.
No

>$255
$4,080 Vol.
No

Market Context

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

Rules

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

Market Context

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

About

Related

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

<$210$10,949 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$210-$215$6,311 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$215-$220$7,645 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$220-$225$7,650 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$225-$230$14,362 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$230-$235$2,074 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$235-$240$3,224 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$240-$245$1,662 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$245-$250$6,303 Vol.Yescircle check

$250-$255$3,496 Vol.Nocircle xmark

>$255$4,080 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

Rules

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

Market Context

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Jan 5 at ___?

About

Related

<$210
$10,949 Vol.
No

$210-$215
$6,311 Vol.
No

$215-$220
$7,645 Vol.
No

$220-$225
$7,650 Vol.
No

$225-$230
$14,362 Vol.
No

$230-$235
$2,074 Vol.
No

$235-$240
$3,224 Vol.
No

$240-$245
$1,662 Vol.
No

$245-$250
$6,303 Vol.
Yes

$250-$255
$3,496 Vol.
No

>$255
$4,080 Vol.
No