**Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) leads the Polymarket consensus for second place in the Amazonas Senate race at 68.5%, well ahead of Wilson Lima (11.6%), Plínio Valério (4.0%), and lower-polling names.** Polls through mid-September show Eduardo Braga (MDB) consistently ahead overall, often securing one seat through interior strength and incumbency, while Alberto Neto competes strongly for the second via solid Manaus support and consolidated first-and-second vote totals in several surveys. Recent August and September polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Veritá place Alberto Neto in the 16–28% range, frequently ahead of or tied near Wilson Lima and Plínio Valério, whose backing remains more limited. The October 4 election features two seats, with voters selecting up to two candidates; trader pricing reflects Alberto Neto’s positioning as the clearest challenger to Braga for the remaining vacancy amid stable regional divides and limited late-campaign shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 67%
Eduardo Braga 12.7%
Wilson Lima 11.3%
Plinio Valério 4.0%
$26,623 Vol.
$26,623 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
72%
Eduardo Braga
13%
Wilson Lima
11%
Plinio Valério
4%
Xuxa do Amazonas
1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 67%
Eduardo Braga 12.7%
Wilson Lima 11.3%
Plinio Valério 4.0%
$26,623 Vol.
$26,623 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
$12,632 Vol.
72%
Eduardo Braga
$4,942 Vol.
13%
Wilson Lima
$5,184 Vol.
11%
Plinio Valério
$679 Vol.
4%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$793 Vol.
1%
Professora Evany
$816 Vol.
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
$521 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$533 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$521 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) leads the Polymarket consensus for second place in the Amazonas Senate race at 68.5%, well ahead of Wilson Lima (11.6%), Plínio Valério (4.0%), and lower-polling names.** Polls through mid-September show Eduardo Braga (MDB) consistently ahead overall, often securing one seat through interior strength and incumbency, while Alberto Neto competes strongly for the second via solid Manaus support and consolidated first-and-second vote totals in several surveys. Recent August and September polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Veritá place Alberto Neto in the 16–28% range, frequently ahead of or tied near Wilson Lima and Plínio Valério, whose backing remains more limited. The October 4 election features two seats, with voters selecting up to two candidates; trader pricing reflects Alberto Neto’s positioning as the clearest challenger to Braga for the remaining vacancy amid stable regional divides and limited late-campaign shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Volume
$26,623End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) leads the Polymarket consensus for second place in the Amazonas Senate race at 68.5%, well ahead of Wilson Lima (11.6%), Plínio Valério (4.0%), and lower-polling names.** Polls through mid-September show Eduardo Braga (MDB) consistently ahead overall, often securing one seat through interior strength and incumbency, while Alberto Neto competes strongly for the second via solid Manaus support and consolidated first-and-second vote totals in several surveys. Recent August and September polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Veritá place Alberto Neto in the 16–28% range, frequently ahead of or tied near Wilson Lima and Plínio Valério, whose backing remains more limited. The October 4 election features two seats, with voters selecting up to two candidates; trader pricing reflects Alberto Neto’s positioning as the clearest challenger to Braga for the remaining vacancy amid stable regional divides and limited late-campaign shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,623End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) leads the Polymarket consensus for second place in the Amazonas Senate race at 68.5%, well ahead of Wilson Lima (11.6%), Plínio Valério (4.0%), and lower-polling names.** Polls through mid-September show Eduardo Braga (MDB) consistently ahead overall, often securing one seat through interior strength and incumbency, while Alberto Neto competes strongly for the second via solid Manaus support and consolidated first-and-second vote totals in several surveys. Recent August and September polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Veritá place Alberto Neto in the 16–28% range, frequently ahead of or tied near Wilson Lima and Plínio Valério, whose backing remains more limited. The October 4 election features two seats, with voters selecting up to two candidates; trader pricing reflects Alberto Neto’s positioning as the clearest challenger to Braga for the remaining vacancy amid stable regional divides and limited late-campaign shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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