Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas’ October 4 Senate contest, backed by consistent leads in first-preference and combined-vote polling from June through late August. Surveys such as Quaest and Projeta show him ahead on the initial ballot (often 30–36%) and in interior regions, where his incumbency and prior governorship provide broad name recognition. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails but remains the clearest challenger, drawing concentrated support in Manaus. Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and lower-polling names trail further, with geographic splits, elevated undecided shares, and rejection levels for Lima keeping the second seat more fluid. Trader pricing reflects these polling patterns and the limited time remaining before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Braga 73%
Capitão Alberto Neto 16.1%
Plinio Valério 6.3%
Wilson Lima 2.8%
$39,735 Vol.
$39,735 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
73%
Capitão Alberto Neto
16%
Plinio Valério
6%
Wilson Lima
3%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Eduardo Braga 73%
Capitão Alberto Neto 16.1%
Plinio Valério 6.3%
Wilson Lima 2.8%
$39,735 Vol.
$39,735 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
$21,168 Vol.
73%
Capitão Alberto Neto
$7,567 Vol.
16%
Plinio Valério
$3,556 Vol.
6%
Wilson Lima
$3,586 Vol.
3%
Dailson Corrêa
$605 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$563 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$915 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$916 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas’ October 4 Senate contest, backed by consistent leads in first-preference and combined-vote polling from June through late August. Surveys such as Quaest and Projeta show him ahead on the initial ballot (often 30–36%) and in interior regions, where his incumbency and prior governorship provide broad name recognition. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails but remains the clearest challenger, drawing concentrated support in Manaus. Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and lower-polling names trail further, with geographic splits, elevated undecided shares, and rejection levels for Lima keeping the second seat more fluid. Trader pricing reflects these polling patterns and the limited time remaining before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Volume
$39,735End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas’ October 4 Senate contest, backed by consistent leads in first-preference and combined-vote polling from June through late August. Surveys such as Quaest and Projeta show him ahead on the initial ballot (often 30–36%) and in interior regions, where his incumbency and prior governorship provide broad name recognition. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails but remains the clearest challenger, drawing concentrated support in Manaus. Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and lower-polling names trail further, with geographic splits, elevated undecided shares, and rejection levels for Lima keeping the second seat more fluid. Trader pricing reflects these polling patterns and the limited time remaining before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$39,735End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas’ October 4 Senate contest, backed by consistent leads in first-preference and combined-vote polling from June through late August. Surveys such as Quaest and Projeta show him ahead on the initial ballot (often 30–36%) and in interior regions, where his incumbency and prior governorship provide broad name recognition. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails but remains the clearest challenger, drawing concentrated support in Manaus. Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and lower-polling names trail further, with geographic splits, elevated undecided shares, and rejection levels for Lima keeping the second seat more fluid. Trader pricing reflects these polling patterns and the limited time remaining before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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