Apple's strong fiscal Q3 2026 results, reported July 30 with revenue of $109.4 billion (up 16% YoY) and EPS of $2.02 (exceeding estimates), drove the post-earnings rally that positioned shares near $313 by the August 7 close. Record iPhone, Mac, and Services revenue, aided by tariff refunds boosting margins, reinforced trader confidence in sustained demand and ecosystem strength. This momentum, alongside analyst price targets averaging around $330, underpins the dominant 89.8% implied probability for a $310–$315 weekly close. Upcoming ex-dividend on August 10 and broader sector trends in AI monetization remain secondary factors amid the earnings-driven sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$310-$315 100.0%
<$285 <1%
$285-$290 <1%
$290-$295 <1%
$2,267 Vol.
$2,267 Vol.
<$285
No
$285-$290
No
$290-$295
No
$295-$300
No
$300-$305
No
$305-$310
No
$310-$315
Yes
$315-$320
No
$320-$325
No
$325-$330
No
>$330
No
$310-$315 100.0%
<$285 <1%
$285-$290 <1%
$290-$295 <1%
$2,267 Vol.
$2,267 Vol.
<$285
No
$285-$290
No
$290-$295
No
$295-$300
No
$300-$305
No
$305-$310
No
$310-$315
Yes
$315-$320
No
$320-$325
No
$325-$330
No
>$330
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Apple's strong fiscal Q3 2026 results, reported July 30 with revenue of $109.4 billion (up 16% YoY) and EPS of $2.02 (exceeding estimates), drove the post-earnings rally that positioned shares near $313 by the August 7 close. Record iPhone, Mac, and Services revenue, aided by tariff refunds boosting margins, reinforced trader confidence in sustained demand and ecosystem strength. This momentum, alongside analyst price targets averaging around $330, underpins the dominant 89.8% implied probability for a $310–$315 weekly close. Upcoming ex-dividend on August 10 and broader sector trends in AI monetization remain secondary factors amid the earnings-driven sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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