Market icon

2025 US Open Winner (M)

Market icon

2025 US Open Winner (M)

Carlos Alcaraz 100.0%

Hubert Hurkacz <1%

Cameron Norrie <1%

Matteo Berrettini <1%

Polymarket

$18,138,052 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 100.0%

Hubert Hurkacz <1%

Cameron Norrie <1%

Matteo Berrettini <1%

Polymarket

$18,138,052 Vol.

Hubert Hurkacz

$89,015 Vol.

No

Cameron Norrie

$144,373 Vol.

No

Matteo Berrettini

$44,053 Vol.

No

Holger Rune

$230,268 Vol.

No

Sebastian Korda

$81,607 Vol.

No

Alexander Bublik

$650,901 Vol.

No

Karen Khachanov

$179,453 Vol.

No

Jannik Sinner

$5,176,691 Vol.

No

Alexander Zverev

$522,460 Vol.

No

Carlos Alcaraz

$2,868,530 Vol.

Yes

Jack Draper

$110,302 Vol.

No

Taylor Fritz

$510,375 Vol.

No

Novak Djokovic

$2,159,014 Vol.

No

Casper Ruud

$85,326 Vol.

No

Alex de Minaur

$599,543 Vol.

No

Frances Tiafoe

$189,488 Vol.

No

Lorenzo Musetti

$747,691 Vol.

No

Daniil Medvedev

$208,747 Vol.

No

Ben Shelton

$563,268 Vol.

No

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$2,007,128 Vol.

No

Tommy Paul

$297,225 Vol.

No

Andrey Rublev

$401,421 Vol.

No

Grigor Dimitrov

$23,190 Vol.

No

Ugo Humbert

$31,068 Vol.

No

Denis Shapovalov

$216,918 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles Tournament. The market will resolve to “Yes” if listed player wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if listed player wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,138,052
End Date
Sep 7, 2025
Market Opened
May 6, 2025, 12:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles Tournament. The market will resolve to “Yes” if listed player wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles Tournament. The market will resolve to “Yes” if listed player wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if listed player wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,138,052
End Date
Sep 7, 2025
Market Opened
May 6, 2025, 12:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles Tournament. The market will resolve to “Yes” if listed player wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025 US Open Winner (M)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 100%, followed by "Hubert Hurkacz" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025 US Open Winner (M)" has generated $18.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025 US Open Winner (M)," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025 US Open Winner (M)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hubert Hurkacz" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025 US Open Winner (M)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.