2024 September hottest on record?
$894,639 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior September when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
At the point the data for September 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for September, and if 2024 September is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2024 September is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
At the point the data for September 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for September, and if 2024 September is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2024 September is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Created At: Aug 30, 2024, 7:59 PM UTC
Volume
$894,639End Date
Oct 20, 2024Created At
Aug 30, 2024, 7:59 PM UTCResolution Source
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txtResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$894,639 Vol.
2024 September hottest on record?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior September when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
At the point the data for September 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for September, and if 2024 September is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2024 September is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
At the point the data for September 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for September, and if 2024 September is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2024 September is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$894,639End Date
Sep 30, 2024Created At
Aug 30, 2024, 7:59 PM UTCResolution Source
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txtResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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