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Política·Presidencia De Trump

¿Trump visitará China antes de...?

Market icon
Política·Presidencia De Trump

¿Trump visitará China antes de...?

$12,664,298 Vol.

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$12,664,298 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo de 2026

$6,109,769 Vol.

<1%

30 de abril de 2026

$4,887,453 Vol.

3%

31 de mayo

$678,690 Vol.

75%

30 de junio

$439,592 Vol.

77%

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not announced plans for a visit to China ahead of his January 20, 2025 inauguration, with recent focus on U.S. domestic transition priorities like cabinet nominations and policy planning. A November 15 phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed trade tensions, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan but yielded no public commitments to in-person meetings. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports and warnings against Taiwan independence signal hawkish foreign policy, reducing near-term visit likelihood. Traders monitor transition schedules and potential early executive actions; historical precedent shows Trump's first-term initial trips prioritized allies like Saudi Arabia over adversaries. Upcoming diplomatic announcements or summits could shift dynamics.

President-elect Donald Trump has not announced plans for a visit to China ahead of his January 20, 2025 inauguration, with recent focus on U.S. domestic transition priorities like cabinet nominations and policy planning. A November 15 phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed trade tensions, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan but yielded no public commitments to in-person meetings. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports and warnings against Taiwan independence signal hawkish foreign policy, reducing near-term visit likelihood. Traders monitor transition schedules and potential early executive actions; historical precedent shows Trump's first-term initial trips prioritized allies like Saudi Arabia over adversaries. Upcoming diplomatic announcements or summits could shift dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not announced plans for a visit to China ahead of his January 20, 2025 inauguration, with recent focus on U.S. domestic transition priorities like cabinet nominations and policy planning. A November 15 phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed trade tensions, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan but yielded no public commitments to in-person meetings. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports and warnings against Taiwan independence signal hawkish foreign policy, reducing near-term visit likelihood. Traders monitor transition schedules and potential early executive actions; historical precedent shows Trump's first-term initial trips prioritized allies like Saudi Arabia over adversaries. Upcoming diplomatic announcements or summits could shift dynamics.

President-elect Donald Trump has not announced plans for a visit to China ahead of his January 20, 2025 inauguration, with recent focus on U.S. domestic transition priorities like cabinet nominations and policy planning. A November 15 phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed trade tensions, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan but yielded no public commitments to in-person meetings. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports and warnings against Taiwan independence signal hawkish foreign policy, reducing near-term visit likelihood. Traders monitor transition schedules and potential early executive actions; historical precedent shows Trump's first-term initial trips prioritized allies like Saudi Arabia over adversaries. Upcoming diplomatic announcements or summits could shift dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump visitará China antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 77%, seguido de "31 de mayo" con 75%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump visitará China antes de...?" ha generado $12.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump visitará China antes de...?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump visitará China antes de...?" es "30 de junio" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de mayo" con 75%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump visitará China antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.