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Política·Presidencia De Trump

¿Trump visitará China antes de...?

Market icon
Política·Presidencia De Trump

¿Trump visitará China antes de...?

$13,108,136 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$13,108,136 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo de 2026

$6,397,005 Vol.

<1%

30 de abril de 2026

$5,034,355 Vol.

3%

31 de mayo

$687,647 Vol.

76%

30 de junio

$440,909 Vol.

82%

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmed on March 25 that President Trump will visit Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, rescheduling an initial late-March trip delayed by U.S. military operations in Iran dubbed "Operation Epic Fury." This development underscores priorities in U.S. foreign policy amid escalating Middle East tensions, with traders pricing in heightened odds for post-May resolution dates on Polymarket reflecting the now-firm diplomatic commitment. Discussions are expected to cover trade tariffs, bilateral relations, and potential de-escalation signals, though ongoing Iran conflict or unforeseen security issues could prompt further postponements. No prior presidential visit to China has occurred since Trump's inauguration, marking a key early milestone in his second term's diplomacy.

White House confirmed on March 25 that President Trump will visit Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, rescheduling an initial late-March trip delayed by U.S. military operations in Iran dubbed "Operation Epic Fury." This development underscores priorities in U.S. foreign policy amid escalating Middle East tensions, with traders pricing in heightened odds for post-May resolution dates on Polymarket reflecting the now-firm diplomatic commitment. Discussions are expected to cover trade tariffs, bilateral relations, and potential de-escalation signals, though ongoing Iran conflict or unforeseen security issues could prompt further postponements. No prior presidential visit to China has occurred since Trump's inauguration, marking a key early milestone in his second term's diplomacy.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmed on March 25 that President Trump will visit Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, rescheduling an initial late-March trip delayed by U.S. military operations in Iran dubbed "Operation Epic Fury." This development underscores priorities in U.S. foreign policy amid escalating Middle East tensions, with traders pricing in heightened odds for post-May resolution dates on Polymarket reflecting the now-firm diplomatic commitment. Discussions are expected to cover trade tariffs, bilateral relations, and potential de-escalation signals, though ongoing Iran conflict or unforeseen security issues could prompt further postponements. No prior presidential visit to China has occurred since Trump's inauguration, marking a key early milestone in his second term's diplomacy.

White House confirmed on March 25 that President Trump will visit Beijing for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, rescheduling an initial late-March trip delayed by U.S. military operations in Iran dubbed "Operation Epic Fury." This development underscores priorities in U.S. foreign policy amid escalating Middle East tensions, with traders pricing in heightened odds for post-May resolution dates on Polymarket reflecting the now-firm diplomatic commitment. Discussions are expected to cover trade tariffs, bilateral relations, and potential de-escalation signals, though ongoing Iran conflict or unforeseen security issues could prompt further postponements. No prior presidential visit to China has occurred since Trump's inauguration, marking a key early milestone in his second term's diplomacy.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump visitará China antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 82%, seguido de "31 de mayo" con 76%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 82¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump visitará China antes de...?" ha generado $13.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump visitará China antes de...?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump visitará China antes de...?" es "30 de junio" con 82%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de mayo" con 76%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump visitará China antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.