Tom Aspinall's dominant first-round knockout of Curtis Blaydes at UFC 304 has solidified his position as the trader-favored frontrunner at 53.5%, reflecting his youth, undefeated streak since 2020, and interim heavyweight title reign amid Jon Jones' prolonged inactivity and injury woes. Ciryl Gane's elite striking and top-contender status (25.5%) position him as the prime alternative, especially after recent wins showcasing cardio improvements. Knockout artists like Sergei Pavlovich (21.6%), Derrick Lewis (22.4%), and Waldo Cortes Acosta (21.5%) draw support in a division where power punching often decides fates, bolstered by Pavlovich's resilience post-Aspinall loss and Lewis' veteran momentum. Mid-tier risers like Ante Delija and Jailton Almeida gain traction from recent finishes, while aging Volkov and Blaydes lag amid inconsistent form, underscoring the market's emphasis on prime athleticism and finishing ability through 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTom Aspinall 38%
Ciryl Gane 26%
Serghei Spivac 16.2%
Curtis Blaydes 14.1%
Tom Aspinall
53%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Serghei Spivac
16%
Curtis Blaydes
14%
Alexander Volkov
11%
Marcin Tybura
10%
Derrick Lewis
22%
Sergei Pavlovich
22%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
21%
Jailton Almeida
15%
Ante Delija
21%
Tom Aspinall 38%
Ciryl Gane 26%
Serghei Spivac 16.2%
Curtis Blaydes 14.1%
Tom Aspinall
53%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Serghei Spivac
16%
Curtis Blaydes
14%
Alexander Volkov
11%
Marcin Tybura
10%
Derrick Lewis
22%
Sergei Pavlovich
22%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
21%
Jailton Almeida
15%
Ante Delija
21%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Aspinall's dominant first-round knockout of Curtis Blaydes at UFC 304 has solidified his position as the trader-favored frontrunner at 53.5%, reflecting his youth, undefeated streak since 2020, and interim heavyweight title reign amid Jon Jones' prolonged inactivity and injury woes. Ciryl Gane's elite striking and top-contender status (25.5%) position him as the prime alternative, especially after recent wins showcasing cardio improvements. Knockout artists like Sergei Pavlovich (21.6%), Derrick Lewis (22.4%), and Waldo Cortes Acosta (21.5%) draw support in a division where power punching often decides fates, bolstered by Pavlovich's resilience post-Aspinall loss and Lewis' veteran momentum. Mid-tier risers like Ante Delija and Jailton Almeida gain traction from recent finishes, while aging Volkov and Blaydes lag amid inconsistent form, underscoring the market's emphasis on prime athleticism and finishing ability through 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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