Trader consensus in the lightweight division reflects a tight race atop the Paddy Pimblett next-fight market, with Arman Tsarukyan at 35.3% implied probability edging Benoît Saint Denis at 33.5%, driven by Pimblett's own February callouts naming both as prime summer targets amid his post-UFC 324 recovery from a unanimous decision loss to Justin Gaethje for the interim title. Saint Denis vaulted ahead in rankings after dismantling Dan Hooker, fueling all-European intrigue, while Tsarukyan's vocal criticism of Pimblett's rapid rise and elite wrestling pedigree position him as a stylistic proving ground. No official matchup announced despite Dana White greenlighting a July International Fight Week slot, leaving Dan Hooker's revenge angle and longshots like Conor McGregor as lower-consensus noise in the unconfirmed matchmaking landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoBenoît Saint Denis 55%
Dan Hooker 14%
Rafael Fiziev 6%
Mateusz Gamrot 3.9%
$48,067 Vol.
$48,067 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
34%
Dan Hooker
14%
Rafael Fiziev
6%
Mateusz Gamrot
4%
Conor McGregor
8%
Arman Tsarukyan
35%
Benoît Saint Denis 55%
Dan Hooker 14%
Rafael Fiziev 6%
Mateusz Gamrot 3.9%
$48,067 Vol.
$48,067 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
34%
Dan Hooker
14%
Rafael Fiziev
6%
Mateusz Gamrot
4%
Conor McGregor
8%
Arman Tsarukyan
35%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the lightweight division reflects a tight race atop the Paddy Pimblett next-fight market, with Arman Tsarukyan at 35.3% implied probability edging Benoît Saint Denis at 33.5%, driven by Pimblett's own February callouts naming both as prime summer targets amid his post-UFC 324 recovery from a unanimous decision loss to Justin Gaethje for the interim title. Saint Denis vaulted ahead in rankings after dismantling Dan Hooker, fueling all-European intrigue, while Tsarukyan's vocal criticism of Pimblett's rapid rise and elite wrestling pedigree position him as a stylistic proving ground. No official matchup announced despite Dana White greenlighting a July International Fight Week slot, leaving Dan Hooker's revenge angle and longshots like Conor McGregor as lower-consensus noise in the unconfirmed matchmaking landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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