UFC bantamweight champion Petr Yan's recently confirmed trilogy bout with former titleholder Merab Dvalishvili drives trader consensus, pricing Dvalishvili at an 82% implied probability for Yan's next fight in July or August. Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision in their December 2025 UFC 323 rematch, then underwent minor back surgery in January, sidelining him until summer but now showing full training footage. Both fighters have publicly affirmed the matchup—Dvalishvili targeting International Fight Week—eclipsing earlier talk of a Sean O'Malley rematch (9%) or bouts with rising contender Umar Nurmagomedov (4%). Wisdom of crowds reflects this verbal agreement amid Yan's recovery and division hierarchy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMerab Dvalishvili 82%
Sean O’Malley 7.5%
Umar Nurmagomedov 4.0%
Cory Sandhagen 2.2%
$187,736 Vol.
$187,736 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
82%
Sean O’Malley
8%
Umar Nurmagomedov
4%
Cory Sandhagen
2%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 82%
Sean O’Malley 7.5%
Umar Nurmagomedov 4.0%
Cory Sandhagen 2.2%
$187,736 Vol.
$187,736 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
82%
Sean O’Malley
8%
Umar Nurmagomedov
4%
Cory Sandhagen
2%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...UFC bantamweight champion Petr Yan's recently confirmed trilogy bout with former titleholder Merab Dvalishvili drives trader consensus, pricing Dvalishvili at an 82% implied probability for Yan's next fight in July or August. Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision in their December 2025 UFC 323 rematch, then underwent minor back surgery in January, sidelining him until summer but now showing full training footage. Both fighters have publicly affirmed the matchup—Dvalishvili targeting International Fight Week—eclipsing earlier talk of a Sean O'Malley rematch (9%) or bouts with rising contender Umar Nurmagomedov (4%). Wisdom of crowds reflects this verbal agreement amid Yan's recovery and division hierarchy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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