Alexandre Pantoja holds the edge in trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC Flyweight champion, fresh off back-to-back title defenses via submission over Steve Erceg at UFC 301 in May and maintaining his five-fight win streak amid no recent setbacks. Tatsuro Taira's 33% share reflects his undefeated 16-0 record and recent dominant performances, including a TKO over Carlos Hernandez, positioning him as the top young contender for a potential shot. Manel Kape (31%) benefits from his knockout artistry shown in the UFC 304 win over Kevin Borjas, while Joshua Van (25.5%) surges after unanimous decision victory over Charles Johnson at UFC Fight Night on November 23, highlighting his four-fight streak. Faded former challengers like Moreno and Royval trail due to repeated losses to Pantoja.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoJoshua Van 50%
Alexandre Pantoja 32%
Kyoji Horiguchi 5.1%
Tim Elliott 2.9%
Joshua Van
50%
Alexandre Pantoja
41%
Kyoji Horiguchi
5%
Tim Elliott
3%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Asu Almabayev
<1%
Steve Erceg
<1%
Amir Albazi
<1%
Manel Kape
33%
Tatsuro Taira
35%
Joshua Van 50%
Alexandre Pantoja 32%
Kyoji Horiguchi 5.1%
Tim Elliott 2.9%
Joshua Van
50%
Alexandre Pantoja
41%
Kyoji Horiguchi
5%
Tim Elliott
3%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Asu Almabayev
<1%
Steve Erceg
<1%
Amir Albazi
<1%
Manel Kape
33%
Tatsuro Taira
35%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexandre Pantoja holds the edge in trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC Flyweight champion, fresh off back-to-back title defenses via submission over Steve Erceg at UFC 301 in May and maintaining his five-fight win streak amid no recent setbacks. Tatsuro Taira's 33% share reflects his undefeated 16-0 record and recent dominant performances, including a TKO over Carlos Hernandez, positioning him as the top young contender for a potential shot. Manel Kape (31%) benefits from his knockout artistry shown in the UFC 304 win over Kevin Borjas, while Joshua Van (25.5%) surges after unanimous decision victory over Charles Johnson at UFC Fight Night on November 23, highlighting his four-fight streak. Faded former challengers like Moreno and Royval trail due to repeated losses to Pantoja.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes