Trader consensus favors former flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja at 58% implied probability to reclaim UFC gold in 2026, driven by his recent arm injury recovery without surgery and targeted mid-year return to challenge current titleholder Joshua Van ahead of Van's first defense against Tatsuro Taira at UFC 327 on April 11. Light heavyweight sees upheaval with Alex Pereira's announced vacancy on April 11 to pursue heavyweight, elevating contenders like Jiří Procházka (50%) and Magomed Ankalaev (51%) for the open slot. No undisputed new champions have emerged in 2026 yet—only Justin Gaethje's interim lightweight win over Paddy Pimblett on January 24—while Alexander Volkanovski defended featherweight versus Diego Lopes on February 1, underscoring stable divisions amid sparse title activity early in the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$11,760 Vol.
Max Holloway
95%
Nassourdine Imavov
86%
Merab Dvalishvili
50%
Yair Rodriguez
49%
Kamaru Usman
48%
Aljamain Sterling
48%
Charles Oliveira
48%
Sergei Pavlovich
48%
Cory Sandhagen
47%
Arman Tsarukyan
26%
Umar Nurmagomedov
35%
Dricus Du Plessis
28%
Belal Muhammad
27%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
20%
Ian Machado Garry
34%
Sean O'Malley
24%
Diego Lopes
8%
Manel Kape
4%
Deiveson Figueiredo
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
19%
Paddy Pimblett
7%
Alexandre Pantoja
58%
Leon Edwards
34%
Sean Strickland
45%
Magomed Ankalaev
51%
Jiří Procházka
50%
Ciryl Gane
49%
Alexander Volkov
-
$11,760 Vol.
Max Holloway
95%
Nassourdine Imavov
86%
Merab Dvalishvili
50%
Yair Rodriguez
49%
Kamaru Usman
48%
Aljamain Sterling
48%
Charles Oliveira
48%
Sergei Pavlovich
48%
Cory Sandhagen
47%
Arman Tsarukyan
26%
Umar Nurmagomedov
35%
Dricus Du Plessis
28%
Belal Muhammad
27%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
20%
Ian Machado Garry
34%
Sean O'Malley
24%
Diego Lopes
8%
Manel Kape
4%
Deiveson Figueiredo
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
19%
Paddy Pimblett
7%
Alexandre Pantoja
58%
Leon Edwards
34%
Sean Strickland
45%
Magomed Ankalaev
51%
Jiří Procházka
50%
Ciryl Gane
49%
Alexander Volkov
-
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors former flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja at 58% implied probability to reclaim UFC gold in 2026, driven by his recent arm injury recovery without surgery and targeted mid-year return to challenge current titleholder Joshua Van ahead of Van's first defense against Tatsuro Taira at UFC 327 on April 11. Light heavyweight sees upheaval with Alex Pereira's announced vacancy on April 11 to pursue heavyweight, elevating contenders like Jiří Procházka (50%) and Magomed Ankalaev (51%) for the open slot. No undisputed new champions have emerged in 2026 yet—only Justin Gaethje's interim lightweight win over Paddy Pimblett on January 24—while Alexander Volkanovski defended featherweight versus Diego Lopes on February 1, underscoring stable divisions amid sparse title activity early in the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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