Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 22.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon, buoyed by her world No. 1 ranking and powerful serve that plays well on grass despite her pre-tournament withdrawal injury in 2024, but the market remains tightly bunched with Victoria Mboko (16.6%), Elena Rybakina (15.0%), and Iga Świątek (14.7%) close behind amid an open field post-Barbora Krejčíková's surprise 2024 title. Rybakina's 2022 championship and quarterfinal run last year highlight her grass-court pedigree, while 16-year-old prodigy Mboko gains traction from recent upsets over top players like Liudmila Samsonova and strong junior results on the surface. Świątek's overall dominance offsets her historical grass struggles, fostering competitive dynamics where stylistic matchups, injury recovery, and next-gen breakthroughs keep probabilities dispersed heading into 2025 grass events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAryna Sabalenka 23%
Victoria Mboko 16.6%
Elena Rybakina 15%
Iga Świątek 14.8%
$2,129,406 Vol.
$2,129,406 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
23%
Victoria Mboko
17%
Elena Rybakina
15%
Iga Świątek
15%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 23%
Victoria Mboko 16.6%
Elena Rybakina 15%
Iga Świątek 14.8%
$2,129,406 Vol.
$2,129,406 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
23%
Victoria Mboko
17%
Elena Rybakina
15%
Iga Świątek
15%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 22.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon, buoyed by her world No. 1 ranking and powerful serve that plays well on grass despite her pre-tournament withdrawal injury in 2024, but the market remains tightly bunched with Victoria Mboko (16.6%), Elena Rybakina (15.0%), and Iga Świątek (14.7%) close behind amid an open field post-Barbora Krejčíková's surprise 2024 title. Rybakina's 2022 championship and quarterfinal run last year highlight her grass-court pedigree, while 16-year-old prodigy Mboko gains traction from recent upsets over top players like Liudmila Samsonova and strong junior results on the surface. Świątek's overall dominance offsets her historical grass struggles, fostering competitive dynamics where stylistic matchups, injury recovery, and next-gen breakthroughs keep probabilities dispersed heading into 2025 grass events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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