Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka the clear US Open favorite at 36% implied probability, propelled by her dominant 2024 hard court season capped by the US Open title over Jessica Pegula and an Australian Open victory earlier, showcasing superior baseline power and serving on the surface. Elena Rybakina sits second at 18.7%, buoyed by consistent WTA 1000 hard court triumphs like Indian Wells and strong US Open semifinal runs, though occasional injuries temper enthusiasm. Iga Swiatek lags at 9.0% despite WTA No. 1 ranking, reflecting her relative hard court vulnerabilities—evident in a 2024 US Open quarterfinal exit to Pegula—versus clay dominance. Coco Gauff (5.1%) and Pegula (4.8%) gain from youth, recent finals experience, and home-crowd potential, with markets pricing in two years of form shifts, injuries, and rankings flux ahead of the 2026 Grand Slam.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAryna Sabalenka 37%
Elena Rybakina 18.6%
Iga Swiatek 9%
Jessica Pegula 5.3%
$228,270 Vol.
$228,270 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Elena Rybakina
19%
Iga Swiatek
9%
Jessica Pegula
5%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Naomi Osaka
2%
Emma Navarro
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Linda Noskova
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 37%
Elena Rybakina 18.6%
Iga Swiatek 9%
Jessica Pegula 5.3%
$228,270 Vol.
$228,270 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Elena Rybakina
19%
Iga Swiatek
9%
Jessica Pegula
5%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Naomi Osaka
2%
Emma Navarro
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Linda Noskova
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka the clear US Open favorite at 36% implied probability, propelled by her dominant 2024 hard court season capped by the US Open title over Jessica Pegula and an Australian Open victory earlier, showcasing superior baseline power and serving on the surface. Elena Rybakina sits second at 18.7%, buoyed by consistent WTA 1000 hard court triumphs like Indian Wells and strong US Open semifinal runs, though occasional injuries temper enthusiasm. Iga Swiatek lags at 9.0% despite WTA No. 1 ranking, reflecting her relative hard court vulnerabilities—evident in a 2024 US Open quarterfinal exit to Pegula—versus clay dominance. Coco Gauff (5.1%) and Pegula (4.8%) gain from youth, recent finals experience, and home-crowd potential, with markets pricing in two years of form shifts, injuries, and rankings flux ahead of the 2026 Grand Slam.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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