Mercedes commands 76.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market, driven by their historical power unit dominance and recent resurgence under current 2024 regulations, positioning them strongly for 2026's overhauled chassis, active aerodynamics, and 50/50 hybrid engines with sustainable fuels. Key boosts include George Russell's pole-to-win (later disqualified) at the Belgian Grand Prix last weekend and Lewis Hamilton's Silverstone victory, signaling upward momentum amid upgrades, while rivals grapple with issues—Red Bull's Perez struggles and in-house Ford powertrain uncertainties cap them at 2.4%. Ferrari trails at 15% on consistent performance and engine reliability, McLaren at 3.5% despite leading 2024 standings, as traders weigh future supplier dependencies and new entrant risks like Audi and Cadillac debuts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMercedes 77%
Ferrari 15%
McLaren 3.5%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 2.3%
$6,989,028 Vol.
$6,989,028 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
15%

McLaren
3%

Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Título del grupo: Haas
1%

Título del grupo: Alpine
1%

Williams
<1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 15%
McLaren 3.5%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 2.3%
$6,989,028 Vol.
$6,989,028 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
15%

McLaren
3%

Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Título del grupo: Haas
1%

Título del grupo: Alpine
1%

Williams
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes commands 76.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market, driven by their historical power unit dominance and recent resurgence under current 2024 regulations, positioning them strongly for 2026's overhauled chassis, active aerodynamics, and 50/50 hybrid engines with sustainable fuels. Key boosts include George Russell's pole-to-win (later disqualified) at the Belgian Grand Prix last weekend and Lewis Hamilton's Silverstone victory, signaling upward momentum amid upgrades, while rivals grapple with issues—Red Bull's Perez struggles and in-house Ford powertrain uncertainties cap them at 2.4%. Ferrari trails at 15% on consistent performance and engine reliability, McLaren at 3.5% despite leading 2024 standings, as traders weigh future supplier dependencies and new entrant risks like Audi and Cadillac debuts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes