Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship standings at 180 points after four Grands Prix underscores trader consensus pricing them at 73.5% implied probability, driven by Kimi Antonelli's third consecutive victory at the Miami Grand Prix last weekend and George Russell's consistent podiums, including a 1-2 finish in Australia. Their superior power unit and mastery of active aero regulations have yielded poles and wins in every race so far, extending a 70-point gap over Ferrari. McLaren's 15.3% reflects strong momentum with double podiums in Miami via Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, closing on Ferrari's 110 points amid tire management gains. Ferrari's 7.5% accounts for solid but fading form, while Red Bull's reliability woes limit them to 1.7% despite Max Verstappen's efforts. Long-term development paths and 20 remaining races keep challengers viable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMercedes 74%
McLaren 15.3%
Ferrari 8%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,805,148 Vol.
$15,805,148 Vol.

Mercedes
74%

McLaren
15%

Ferrari
8%

Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Título del grupo: Haas
1%

Título del grupo: Alpine
1%

Williams
<1%

Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 74%
McLaren 15.3%
Ferrari 8%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,805,148 Vol.
$15,805,148 Vol.

Mercedes
74%

McLaren
15%

Ferrari
8%

Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Título del grupo: Haas
1%

Título del grupo: Alpine
1%

Williams
<1%

Cadillac
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship standings at 180 points after four Grands Prix underscores trader consensus pricing them at 73.5% implied probability, driven by Kimi Antonelli's third consecutive victory at the Miami Grand Prix last weekend and George Russell's consistent podiums, including a 1-2 finish in Australia. Their superior power unit and mastery of active aero regulations have yielded poles and wins in every race so far, extending a 70-point gap over Ferrari. McLaren's 15.3% reflects strong momentum with double podiums in Miami via Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, closing on Ferrari's 110 points amid tire management gains. Ferrari's 7.5% accounts for solid but fading form, while Red Bull's reliability woes limit them to 1.7% despite Max Verstappen's efforts. Long-term development paths and 20 remaining races keep challengers viable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes