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Deportes·UFC

¿Quién será campeón de peso ligero de UFC a finales de 2026?

Market icon
Deportes·UFC

¿Quién será campeón de peso ligero de UFC a finales de 2026?

Ilia Topuria 70%

Arman Tsarukyan 26%

Charles Oliveira 12.8%

Justin Gaethje 11.5%

Polymarket

$15,513 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 70%

Arman Tsarukyan 26%

Charles Oliveira 12.8%

Justin Gaethje 11.5%

Polymarket

$15,513 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$5,486 Vol.

60%

Arman Tsarukyan

$1,048 Vol.

26%

Charles Oliveira

$1,110 Vol.

13%

Max Holloway

$771 Vol.

4%

Justin Gaethje

$1,607 Vol.

12%

Paddy Pimblett

$2,248 Vol.

1%

Dan Hooker

$626 Vol.

1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$580 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$832 Vol.

1%

Rafael Fiziev

$627 Vol.

1%

Renato Moicano

$579 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus heavily favors Ilia Topuria at 68% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through year's end, reflecting his undefeated record, pound-for-pound elite status, and dominant KO conquest of Charles Oliveira for the belt in June 2025 after Islam Makhachev vacated for welterweight. Despite Topuria's inactivity since amid personal challenges, his upcoming undisputed title defense against interim champion Justin Gaethje on June 14 at UFC White House underscores confidence in his knockout power and finishing ability. Arman Tsarukyan's 20% share stems from elite wrestling lauded by Khabib Nurmagomedov as a stylistic nightmare for Topuria, plus his submission win over Dan Hooker in November 2025. Oliveira's recent dominant decision over Max Holloway at UFC 326 elevates his veteran submission threat to 12.8%, while Gaethje's interim title via Pimblett stoppage fuels his 11.5% upset potential in explosive matchups.

Trader consensus heavily favors Ilia Topuria at 68% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through year's end, reflecting his undefeated record, pound-for-pound elite status, and dominant KO conquest of Charles Oliveira for the belt in June 2025 after Islam Makhachev vacated for welterweight. Despite Topuria's inactivity since amid personal challenges, his upcoming undisputed title defense against interim champion Justin Gaethje on June 14 at UFC White House underscores confidence in his knockout power and finishing ability. Arman Tsarukyan's 20% share stems from elite wrestling lauded by Khabib Nurmagomedov as a stylistic nightmare for Topuria, plus his submission win over Dan Hooker in November 2025. Oliveira's recent dominant decision over Max Holloway at UFC 326 elevates his veteran submission threat to 12.8%, while Gaethje's interim title via Pimblett stoppage fuels his 11.5% upset potential in explosive matchups.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus heavily favors Ilia Topuria at 68% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through year's end, reflecting his undefeated record, pound-for-pound elite status, and dominant KO conquest of Charles Oliveira for the belt in June 2025 after Islam Makhachev vacated for welterweight. Despite Topuria's inactivity since amid personal challenges, his upcoming undisputed title defense against interim champion Justin Gaethje on June 14 at UFC White House underscores confidence in his knockout power and finishing ability. Arman Tsarukyan's 20% share stems from elite wrestling lauded by Khabib Nurmagomedov as a stylistic nightmare for Topuria, plus his submission win over Dan Hooker in November 2025. Oliveira's recent dominant decision over Max Holloway at UFC 326 elevates his veteran submission threat to 12.8%, while Gaethje's interim title via Pimblett stoppage fuels his 11.5% upset potential in explosive matchups.

Trader consensus heavily favors Ilia Topuria at 68% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through year's end, reflecting his undefeated record, pound-for-pound elite status, and dominant KO conquest of Charles Oliveira for the belt in June 2025 after Islam Makhachev vacated for welterweight. Despite Topuria's inactivity since amid personal challenges, his upcoming undisputed title defense against interim champion Justin Gaethje on June 14 at UFC White House underscores confidence in his knockout power and finishing ability. Arman Tsarukyan's 20% share stems from elite wrestling lauded by Khabib Nurmagomedov as a stylistic nightmare for Topuria, plus his submission win over Dan Hooker in November 2025. Oliveira's recent dominant decision over Max Holloway at UFC 326 elevates his veteran submission threat to 12.8%, while Gaethje's interim title via Pimblett stoppage fuels his 11.5% upset potential in explosive matchups.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será campeón de peso ligero de UFC a finales de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ilia Topuria" con 60%, seguido de "Arman Tsarukyan" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será campeón de peso ligero de UFC a finales de 2026?" ha generado $15.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será campeón de peso ligero de UFC a finales de 2026?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será campeón de peso ligero de UFC a finales de 2026?" es "Ilia Topuria" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Arman Tsarukyan" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será campeón de peso ligero de UFC a finales de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.