Market icon
Política·DHS

¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?

Market icon
Política·DHS

¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Antes del 1 de abril 55%

21-24 de abril 6%

5-8 de abril 6%

13-16 de abril 6%

Polymarket
NEW

$40,621 Vol.

Antes del 1 de abril 55%

21-24 de abril 6%

5-8 de abril 6%

13-16 de abril 6%

Polymarket
NEW

$40,621 Vol.

Antes del 1 de abril

$15,569 Vol.

55%

1-4 de abril

$156 Vol.

12%

5-8 de abril

$47 Vol.

6%

9-12 de abril

$54 Vol.

12%

13-16 de abril

$5,588 Vol.

6%

17-20 de abril

$48 Vol.

11%

21-24 de abril

$16,556 Vol.

6%

25-28 de abril

$1,158 Vol.

6%

29-30 de abril

$1,200 Vol.

9%

Después del 30 de abril

$243 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors the DHS shutdown ending before April 1 at 54.5%, reflecting accelerated bipartisan negotiations on a continuing resolution amid the March 22 funding deadline lapse that triggered partial agency furloughs. House Speaker Mike Johnson advanced a stopgap measure on March 22, securing passage despite conservative pushback on spending cuts, while Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer fast-tracked concurrence, with President Biden poised to sign promptly. Sticking points like border security appropriations and overall discretionary funding levels narrowed after whip counts showed sufficient support, though hardline Republicans and Democrats remain as potential holdouts. Upcoming floor votes and procedural hurdles could finalize the CR imminently, lowering odds for mid-April resolutions as historical patterns favor short shutdowns during election years.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$40,621
Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors the DHS shutdown ending before April 1 at 54.5%, reflecting accelerated bipartisan negotiations on a continuing resolution amid the March 22 funding deadline lapse that triggered partial agency furloughs. House Speaker Mike Johnson advanced a stopgap measure on March 22, securing passage despite conservative pushback on spending cuts, while Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer fast-tracked concurrence, with President Biden poised to sign promptly. Sticking points like border security appropriations and overall discretionary funding levels narrowed after whip counts showed sufficient support, though hardline Republicans and Democrats remain as potential holdouts. Upcoming floor votes and procedural hurdles could finalize the CR imminently, lowering odds for mid-April resolutions as historical patterns favor short shutdowns during election years.

Trader consensus favors the DHS shutdown ending before April 1 at 54.5%, reflecting accelerated bipartisan negotiations on a continuing resolution amid the March 22 funding deadline lapse that triggered partial agency furloughs. House Speaker Mike Johnson advanced a stopgap measure on March 22, securing passage despite conservative pushback on spending cuts, while Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer fast-tracked concurrence, with President Biden poised to sign promptly. Sticking points like border security appropriations and overall discretionary funding levels narrowed after whip counts showed sufficient support, though hardline Republicans and Democrats remain as potential holdouts. Upcoming floor votes and procedural hurdles could finalize the CR imminently, lowering odds for mid-April resolutions as historical patterns favor short shutdowns during election years.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Antes del 1 de abril" con 55%, seguido de "1-4 de abril" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" ha generado $40.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" es "Antes del 1 de abril" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "1-4 de abril" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.