Trader consensus implies a 48% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, driven by accelerating bipartisan talks on a continuing resolution extending government funding past the immediate deadline. House Speaker Mike Johnson reported significant progress with Senate leaders on March 20, resolving key disputes over DHS border security allocations and spending caps, positioning a House floor vote as early as this week. Presidential signature would follow quickly, per historical patterns in shutdown brinkmanship. Conservative holdouts demanding deeper cuts and potential Senate delays sustain viability for mid-April resolutions like April 9-12 at 14%, amid stalled 12 omnibus appropriations bills and no comprehensive deal in sight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAntes del 1 de abril 49%
Después del 30 de abril 11%
13-16 de abril 9%
1-4 de abril 9%
NEW
$39,773 Vol.
NEW
$39,773 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Antes del 1 de abril
49%
1-4 de abril
9%
5-8 de abril
11%
9-12 de abril
14%
13-16 de abril
9%
17-20 de abril
7%
21-24 de abril
9%
25-28 de abril
6%
29-30 de abril
6%
Después del 30 de abril
14%
Antes del 1 de abril 49%
Después del 30 de abril 11%
13-16 de abril 9%
1-4 de abril 9%
NEW
$39,773 Vol.
NEW
$39,773 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Antes del 1 de abril
$14,990 Vol.
49%
1-4 de abril
$142 Vol.
9%
5-8 de abril
$33 Vol.
11%
9-12 de abril
$33 Vol.
14%
13-16 de abril
$5,559 Vol.
9%
17-20 de abril
$33 Vol.
7%
21-24 de abril
$16,536 Vol.
9%
25-28 de abril
$1,143 Vol.
6%
29-30 de abril
$1,185 Vol.
6%
Después del 30 de abril
$117 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus implies a 48% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, driven by accelerating bipartisan talks on a continuing resolution extending government funding past the immediate deadline. House Speaker Mike Johnson reported significant progress with Senate leaders on March 20, resolving key disputes over DHS border security allocations and spending caps, positioning a House floor vote as early as this week. Presidential signature would follow quickly, per historical patterns in shutdown brinkmanship. Conservative holdouts demanding deeper cuts and potential Senate delays sustain viability for mid-April resolutions like April 9-12 at 14%, amid stalled 12 omnibus appropriations bills and no comprehensive deal in sight.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Volumen
$39,773Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus implies a 48% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, driven by accelerating bipartisan talks on a continuing resolution extending government funding past the immediate deadline. House Speaker Mike Johnson reported significant progress with Senate leaders on March 20, resolving key disputes over DHS border security allocations and spending caps, positioning a House floor vote as early as this week. Presidential signature would follow quickly, per historical patterns in shutdown brinkmanship. Conservative holdouts demanding deeper cuts and potential Senate delays sustain viability for mid-April resolutions like April 9-12 at 14%, amid stalled 12 omnibus appropriations bills and no comprehensive deal in sight.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$39,773Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implies a 48% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, driven by accelerating bipartisan talks on a continuing resolution extending government funding past the immediate deadline. House Speaker Mike Johnson reported significant progress with Senate leaders on March 20, resolving key disputes over DHS border security allocations and spending caps, positioning a House floor vote as early as this week. Presidential signature would follow quickly, per historical patterns in shutdown brinkmanship. Conservative holdouts demanding deeper cuts and potential Senate delays sustain viability for mid-April resolutions like April 9-12 at 14%, amid stalled 12 omnibus appropriations bills and no comprehensive deal in sight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes