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Finanzas·Acciones

¿En qué se cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) en marzo?

Market icon
Finanzas·Acciones

¿En qué se cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) en marzo?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

$6,400-$6,500 15%

$6,500-$6,600 12%

$6,600-$6,700 4%

$6,900-$7,000 2.5%

Polymarket

$10,469 Vol.

$6,400-$6,500 15%

$6,500-$6,600 12%

$6,600-$6,700 4%

$6,900-$7,000 2.5%

Polymarket

$10,469 Vol.

<$6,400

$1,159 Vol.

37%

$6,400-$6,500

$3,518 Vol.

15%

$6,500-$6,600

$2,058 Vol.

12%

$6,600-$6,700

$384 Vol.

9%

$6,700-$6,800

$644 Vol.

2%

$6,800-$6,900

$1,351 Vol.

2%

$6,900-$7,000

$281 Vol.

2%

$7,000-$7,100

$445 Vol.

1%

$7,100-$7,200

$133 Vol.

1%

$7,200-$7,300

$116 Vol.

<1%

>$7,300

$381 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing March below $6,400, driven primarily by escalating Iran conflict risks that have propelled crude oil past $100 per barrel, reigniting inflation fears and prompting a risk-off shift. The index tumbled 1.7% to 6,368.85 on March 27—erasing recent gains from mid-March highs near 6,700—following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady while lifting its 2026 PCE inflation outlook to 2.7% amid softening jobs data. Year-to-date down roughly 7%, sentiment reflects limited rebound catalysts ahead of month-end, with Friday's trading and upcoming jobs report pivotal for any reversal.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing March below $6,400, driven primarily by escalating Iran conflict risks that have propelled crude oil past $100 per barrel, reigniting inflation fears and prompting a risk-off shift. The index tumbled 1.7% to 6,368.85 on March 27—erasing recent gains from mid-March highs near 6,700—following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady while lifting its 2026 PCE inflation outlook to 2.7% amid softening jobs data. Year-to-date down roughly 7%, sentiment reflects limited rebound catalysts ahead of month-end, with Friday's trading and upcoming jobs report pivotal for any reversal.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing March below $6,400, driven primarily by escalating Iran conflict risks that have propelled crude oil past $100 per barrel, reigniting inflation fears and prompting a risk-off shift. The index tumbled 1.7% to 6,368.85 on March 27—erasing recent gains from mid-March highs near 6,700—following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady while lifting its 2026 PCE inflation outlook to 2.7% amid softening jobs data. Year-to-date down roughly 7%, sentiment reflects limited rebound catalysts ahead of month-end, with Friday's trading and upcoming jobs report pivotal for any reversal.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing March below $6,400, driven primarily by escalating Iran conflict risks that have propelled crude oil past $100 per barrel, reigniting inflation fears and prompting a risk-off shift. The index tumbled 1.7% to 6,368.85 on March 27—erasing recent gains from mid-March highs near 6,700—following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady while lifting its 2026 PCE inflation outlook to 2.7% amid softening jobs data. Year-to-date down roughly 7%, sentiment reflects limited rebound catalysts ahead of month-end, with Friday's trading and upcoming jobs report pivotal for any reversal.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿En qué se cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) en marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<$6,400" con 37%, seguido de "$6,400-$6,500" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿En qué se cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) en marzo?" ha generado $10.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿En qué se cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) en marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿En qué se cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) en marzo?" es "<$6,400" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$6,400-$6,500" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿En qué se cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) en marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.